Region 13 home page
Region 13 projections
Region 13 playoff probabilities
Region 13 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 13 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#90 of 101 in Division 4
#21 of 24 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #98 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #86 in D4 (-750 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 24-20 A #516 Malvern (1-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 19 (19%), perf. rating 73
08/28 L 43-0 H #237 Orrville (2-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 30 (7%), perf. rating 53
09/04 A #584 Rootstown (1-1) D6 R21, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/11 A #418 Wickliffe (2-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 24 (8%)
09/18 H #527 Independence (1-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 5 (38%)
09/25 A #356 Cuyahoga Heights (1-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/02 H #632 Fairport Harding (0-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/10 H #684 Brooklyn (0-2) D5 R18, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/16 A #474 Berkshire (0-2) D5 R17, pick: L by 18 (12%)
10/23 A #687 Beachwood (1-1) D5 R17, pick: W by 34 (99%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
1.99 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
10% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.51 ( 0.84- 4.62) 18% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), West Geauga (2-0) 16%
Lose: 1.46 ( 0.00- 3.83) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 7W: 3.80 ( 3.60- 4.03) 89% in, 3% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), West Geauga (2-0) 18%
(11%) 6W: 3.16 ( 2.99- 3.54) 45% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), West Geauga (2-0) 14%
(20%) 5W: 2.55 ( 2.42- 2.92) 9% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(27%) 4W: 1.99 ( 1.89- 2.35) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(25%) 3W: 1.46 ( 1.33- 1.75) out, proj. out
(11%) 2W: 1.02 ( 0.84- 1.20) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWWLWWLW: 3.24 ( 3.14- 3.37) 50% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), East (Akron) (1-1) 20%
( 6%) WLWLWWWW: 3.12 ( 2.99- 3.38) 42% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Northwest (Canal Fult.) (2-0) 14%
( 4%) WLLLWWWW: 2.55 ( 2.43- 2.74) 6% in, proj. out (#12-out), Northwest (Canal Fult.) (2-0) 27%
(11%) WLWLWWLW: 2.54 ( 2.42- 2.72) 7% in, proj. out (#10-out), West Geauga (2-0) 21%
( 6%) LLWLWWLW: 2.01 ( 1.94- 2.18) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Norton (2-0) 100%
(14%) WLLLWWLW: 1.97 ( 1.89- 2.17) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Norton (2-0) 33%
(19%) LLLLWWLW: 1.46 ( 1.41- 1.61) out
( 9%) LLLLLWLW: 1.02 ( 0.98- 1.10) out
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (0-2, 68.0, #571, D4 #90), 13% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 73.6, #536, D4 #83), 24% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 69.2, #561, D4 #88), 20% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 62.8