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Rankings
#88 of 101 in Division 4
#21 of 24 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #94 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #20 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #457 Malvern (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 19 (19%)
08/28 H #226 Orrville (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 35 (4%)
09/04 A #477 Rootstown (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 17 (17%)
09/11 A #404 Wickliffe (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 26 (6%)
09/18 H #581 Independence (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 6 (65%)
09/25 A #435 Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/02 H #513 Fairport Harding (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/10 H #672 Brooklyn (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/16 A #356 Berkshire (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/23 A #690 Beachwood (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 36 (99%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
5.89 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
20% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 9.52 ( 0.70-27.74) 49% in, 21% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 8%
Lose: 4.18 ( 0.00-22.79) 14% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Norton (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 19.31 (14.36-23.04) 100% in, 97% home, 24% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#10), bye 24%
( 3%) 8W: 16.63 (11.18-21.33) 99% in, 73% home, 6% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 8%
( 6%) 7W: 13.61 ( 9.06-17.95) 94% in, 32% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Norton (0-0) 9%
( 9%) 6W: 10.84 ( 6.44-15.23) 68% in, 6% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 10%
(14%) 5W: 8.26 ( 4.07-14.07) 27% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Norton (0-0) 13%
(18%) 4W: 5.89 ( 2.86-12.00) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 15%
(22%) 3W: 3.77 ( 1.75- 7.97) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(18%) 2W: 2.11 ( 0.85- 7.36) out, proj. out
( 7%) 1W: 0.80 ( 0.35- 4.14) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
East (Akron) (0-0) 9%
Norton (0-0) 9%
Northwest (Canal Fult.) (0-0) 8%
Hubbard (0-0) 8%
West Geauga (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
West Branch (0-0) 18%
Streetsboro (0-0) 15%
Poland Seminary (0-0) 13%
Norton (0-0) 10%
Rocky River (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 107.5, #296, D4 #38), 40% (bubble if 4-6), 18% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 62.8