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Rankings
#24 of 104 in Division 7
#6 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #54 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #2 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #543 Conneaut (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 21 (83%)
08/28 A #356 Berkshire (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 12 (27%)
09/04 H #640 North Central (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 34 (97%)
09/11 H #672 Brooklyn (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 41 (99%)
09/18 A #323 Fairview (Fairv. Park) (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 15 (17%)
09/25 H #561 Trinity (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/02 A #404 Wickliffe (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/09 H #581 Independence (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/16 A #690 Beachwood (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 46 (99%)
10/23 A #513 Fairport Harding (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 12 (79%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
12.04 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#6 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
86% (bubble if 5-5), 65% home (maybe if 6-4), 33% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.10 ( 0.45-27.18) 91% in, 72% home, 38% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 42%
Lose: 7.81 ( 0.00-22.44) 61% in, 33% home, 9% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 15%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 10W: 21.04 (15.97-27.18) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(15%) 9W: 17.99 (12.44-23.14) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 90%
(18%) 8W: 15.07 ( 9.11-20.98) 100% in, 99% home, 51% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 51%
(20%) 7W: 12.04 ( 7.44-18.10) 99% in, 84% home, 12% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 12%
(17%) 6W: 9.47 ( 5.68-16.14) 94% in, 43% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), W. Reserve (Berlin Ctr) (0-0) 7%
(11%) 5W: 7.40 ( 3.56-14.37) 68% in, 11% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Fairport Harding (0-0) 9%
( 7%) 4W: 5.54 ( 2.86-11.60) 26% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Fairport Harding (0-0) 10%
( 3%) 3W: 3.88 ( 1.80- 7.46) 4% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 1%) 2W: 2.32 ( 0.90- 5.90) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Fairport Harding (0-0) 4%
East Canton (0-0) 4%
Malvern (0-0) 4%
St John School (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Dalton (0-0) 12%
McDonald (0-0) 11%
Springfield (New Midd.) (0-0) 10%
Mogadore (0-0) 9%
Monroeville (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 91.2, #435, D7 #24), 86% (bubble if 5-5), 65% home (maybe if 6-4), 33% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Last season 90.8