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Rankings
#18 of 103 in Division 7
#2 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #61 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #16 in D7 (+167 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 20-13 H #348 Conneaut (3-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 21 (83%), perf. rating 91
08/28 W 31-7 A #488 Berkshire (1-2) D5 R17, pick: L by 21 (15%), perf. rating 119
09/04 W 36-7 H #629 North Central (0-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 39 (99%), perf. rating 91
09/11 H #687 Brooklyn (0-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/18 A #449 Fairview (Fairv. Park) (0-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 10 (73%)
09/25 H #639 Trinity (0-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/02 A #394 Wickliffe (3-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/09 H #509 Independence (2-1) D7 R25, pick: W by 22 (93%)
10/16 A #681 Beachwood (2-1) D5 R17, pick: W by 47 (99%)
10/23 A #625 Fairport Harding (0-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 35 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
13.70 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#2 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 98% home (maybe if 5-5), 83% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.51 ( 3.67-20.52) 99% in, 98% home, 83% bye, proj. #2 (#1-out), bye 83%
Lose: 11.38 ( 3.72-18.25) 99% in, 84% home, 54% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 54%
Based on eventual number of wins
(39%) 9W: 17.13 (14.36-20.52) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(35%) 8W: 13.70 (10.27-18.65) 100% home, 93% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 93%
(19%) 7W: 11.44 ( 7.60-16.18) 100% in, 99% home, 57% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 57%
( 6%) 6W: 8.76 ( 6.19-14.02) 99% in, 79% home, 8% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), Monroeville (0-3) 14%
( 1%) 5W: 7.00 ( 5.18- 9.93) 95% in, 26% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Monroeville (0-3) 15%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(39%) WWWWWWW: 17.13 (14.36-20.52) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 8%) WLWWWWW: 15.52 (13.25-18.25) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 3%) WWWWLWW: 13.85 (11.28-17.04) 100% home, 86% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 86%
(23%) WWWLWWW: 13.20 (10.27-16.28) 100% home, 91% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 91%
( 2%) WLWWLWW: 12.04 ( 9.92-14.36) 100% home, 54% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 54%
(12%) WLWLWWW: 11.59 ( 9.47-14.01) 100% home, 68% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 68%
( 4%) WWWLLWW: 10.12 ( 7.60-12.80) 100% in, 98% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), bye 14%
( 4%) WLWLLWW: 8.41 ( 6.49-10.43) 100% in, 75% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#2-#12), Monroeville (0-3) 16%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (2-1, 99.6, #367, D7 #18), likely in, 98% home (maybe if 5-5), 83% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 2 (1-1, 101.0, #356, D7 #15), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 6-4), 81% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 1 (0-1, 80.6, #491, D7 #33), 71% (bubble if 4-6), 44% home (maybe if 6-4), 15% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #10 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 91.2, #435, D7 #24), 86% (bubble if 5-5), 65% home (maybe if 6-4), 33% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 90.8