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Rankings
#42 of 107 in Division 6
#10 of 27 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #98 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #42 in D6 (+13 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 41-7 A #647 Bradford (2-1) D7 R28, pick: W by 48 (99%), perf. rating 96
08/28 W 28-8 H #593 Richmond Heights (2-1) D6 R21, pick: W by 32 (95%), perf. rating 89
09/04 W 41-0 A #645 Woodward (Toledo) (0-3) D3 R10, pick: W by 32 (96%), perf. rating 107
09/11 H #639 Trinity (0-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 37 (99%)
09/18 A #681 Beachwood (2-1) D5 R17, pick: W by 45 (99%)
09/25 A #509 Independence (2-1) D7 R25, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/02 H #367 Cuyahoga Heights (2-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 2 (45%)
10/10 A #625 Fairport Harding (0-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 33 (99%)
10/16 H #687 Brooklyn (0-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 48 (99%)
10/23 A #348 Conneaut (3-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 9 (28%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
15.82 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#8 seed in R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
90% (bubble if 7-3), 44% home (maybe if 9-1), 5% bye (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.66 ( 5.53-24.10) 90% in, 44% home, 5% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), United (2-1) 15%
Lose: 10.12 ( 5.38-18.95) 54% in, 10% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
(18%) 10W: 19.45 (16.02-24.10) 100% in, 99% home, 25% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 25%
(32%) 9W: 15.82 (12.94-20.77) 100% in, 71% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#12), Columbiana (3-0) 21%
(34%) 8W: 12.39 ( 9.81-18.10) 96% in, 7% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), United (2-1) 24%
(14%) 7W: 9.41 ( 7.80-14.16) 45% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), United (2-1) 21%
( 2%) 6W: 7.55 ( 5.93-12.35) 9% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(18%) WWWWWWW: 19.45 (16.02-24.10) 100% in, 99% home, 25% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#9), bye 25%
( 2%) WWLWWWW: 16.07 (13.19-19.15) 100% in, 76% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#11), Columbiana (3-0) 23%
(21%) WWWWWWL: 15.82 (13.85-19.31) 100% in, 71% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-#12), Columbiana (3-0) 21%
(10%) WWWLWWW: 15.82 (12.94-20.06) 100% in, 69% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Columbiana (3-0) 20%
( 4%) WWLWWWL: 12.49 (10.82-16.53) 96% in, 6% home, proj. #10 (#7-out), United (2-1) 23%
(27%) WWWLWWL: 12.29 (10.62-16.53) 96% in, 6% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), United (2-1) 24%
(11%) WWLLWWL: 9.16 ( 7.80-13.91) 38% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Mineral Ridge (3-0) 21%
( 1%) WWLLLWL: 7.40 ( 6.39-11.44) 7% in, proj. out (#11-out), Smithville (3-0) 25%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (3-0, 96.0, #394, D6 #42), 90% (bubble if 7-3), 44% home (maybe if 9-1), 5% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #8 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 91.1, #417, D6 #47), 82% (bubble if 7-3), 39% home (maybe if 9-1), 6% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #11 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 89.8, #426, D6 #53), 76% (bubble if 7-3), 43% home (maybe if 9-1), 4% bye, proj. #7 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 95.5, #404, D6 #43), 86% (bubble if 7-3), 59% home (maybe if 8-2), 16% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #7 at 9-1
Last season 98.5