Region 14 home page
Region 14 projections
Region 14 playoff probabilities
Region 14 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 14 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#73 of 101 in Division 4
#20 of 25 in Region 14
Strength of schedule #23 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #88 in D4 (-570 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 41-6 A #150 Van Wert (3-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 33 (7%), perf. rating 79
08/28 L 28-22 H #417 Bowling Green (1-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 6 (38%), perf. rating 81
09/04 L 32-29 H #271 Fairview (Sherwood) (2-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 32 (4%), perf. rating 107
09/11 H #154 Patrick Henry (2-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 31 (3%)
09/18 H #25 Liberty Center (3-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 48 (1%)
09/25 A #564 Evergreen (0-3) D6 R22, pick: W by 18 (87%)
10/02 A #622 Swanton (1-2) D5 R18, pick: W by 28 (96%)
10/09 H #375 Wauseon (0-3) D4 R14, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/16 A #50 Archbold (3-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 45 (1%)
10/23 A #137 Delta (3-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 35 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
1.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R14 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 5.55 ( 2.45-12.75) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
Lose: 1.65 ( 0.00-14.15) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 4W: 5.95 ( 5.40- 9.35) 7% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(29%) 3W: 3.00 ( 2.95- 8.40) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(53%) 2W: 1.65 ( 1.30- 5.55) out, proj. out
(13%) 1W: 0.80 ( 0.40- 3.85) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LWWWWLL: 6.95 ( 6.45- 7.80) 18% in, proj. out (#10-out), Firelands (2-1) 22%
( 2%) WLWWWLL: 5.55 ( 5.40- 6.90) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Benjamin Logan (1-2) 25%
(25%) LLWWWLL: 3.00 ( 2.95- 4.25) out
( 2%) LLLWWLL: 2.15 ( 1.75- 3.00) out
(49%) LLWWLLL: 1.65 ( 1.60- 3.00) out
( 3%) LLWLLLL: 0.85 ( 0.40- 1.65) out
(10%) LLLWLLL: 0.80 ( 0.80- 2.00) out
( 1%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, 88.2, #446, D4 #73), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 78.2, #507, D4 #79), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 1 (0-1, 77.2, #508, D4 #80), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 79.7, #498, D4 #78), 8% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 82.4