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Rankings
#8 of 107 in Division 6
#3 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #16 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #45 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #224 Edison (Milan) (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 17 (78%)
08/28 A #545 Ayersville (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 41 (98%)
09/04 A #80 Columbus Grove (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 14 (22%)
09/11 A #498 Bryan (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 37 (99%)
09/18 H #364 Wauseon (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 28 (96%)
09/25 H #15 Liberty Center (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/02 A #204 Delta (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/09 H #169 Archbold (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/16 A #635 Swanton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/23 H #401 Evergreen (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 31 (98%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
14.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
80% (bubble if 5-5), 60% home (maybe if 7-3), 30% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.75 ( 0.90-29.20) 89% in, 71% home, 38% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 42%
Lose: 9.35 ( 0.00-24.35) 48% in, 24% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 10W: 24.50 (19.20-29.20) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(15%) 9W: 20.50 (13.90-26.55) 100% in, 99% home, 93% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 93%
(23%) 8W: 17.20 (10.95-25.50) 99% in, 97% home, 48% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 48%
(23%) 7W: 14.05 ( 8.20-20.40) 98% in, 69% home, 8% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 8%
(17%) 6W: 11.15 ( 6.65-17.15) 77% in, 18% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Paulding (0-0) 8%
(10%) 5W: 8.45 ( 4.35-15.20) 25% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 10%
( 5%) 4W: 6.10 ( 3.20-12.10) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 2%) 3W: 4.05 ( 1.75- 9.30) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 1%) 2W: 2.30 ( 0.85- 6.05) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 5%
Paulding (0-0) 5%
Woodmore (0-0) 5%
Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 14%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 13%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 8%
Carey (0-0) 8%
Delta (0-0) 6%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 131.7, #139, D6 #8), 80% (bubble if 5-5), 60% home (maybe if 7-3), 30% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 130.3