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Rankings
#11 of 108 in Division 6
#4 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #23 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #11 in D6 (+171 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 42-21 H #411 Edison (Milan) (2-6) D5 R18, pick: W by 17 (78%), perf. rating 122
08/28 W 33-14 A #515 Ayersville (3-5) D7 R26, pick: W by 44 (99%), perf. rating 108
09/04 L 21-14 A #99 Columbus Grove (7-1) D6 R22, pick: L by 22 (11%), perf. rating 131
09/11 W 22-16 A #410 Bryan (2-6) D4 R14, pick: W by 31 (97%), perf. rating 104
09/18 W 33-6 H #385 Wauseon (2-6) D4 R14, pick: W by 22 (92%), perf. rating 134
09/25 L 38-6 H #32 Liberty Center (8-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 31 (2%), perf. rating 112
10/02 W 26-7 A #216 Delta (5-3) D6 R22, pick: L by 12 (22%), perf. rating 151
10/09 L 44-8 H #38 Archbold (8-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 23 (7%), perf. rating 102
10/16 A #613 Swanton (1-7) D5 R18, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/23 H #539 Evergreen (1-7) D6 R22, pick: W by 39 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
11.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
89% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.55 (10.30-12.85) 89% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (8-0) 28%
Based on eventual number of wins
(98%) 7W: 11.55 (11.10-12.85) 90% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (8-0) 28%
( 2%) 6W: 10.75 ( 9.85-11.95) 69% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (8-0) 32%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(98%) WW: 11.55 (11.10-12.85) 90% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#8-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (8-0) 28%
( 1%) WL: 10.70 (10.30-11.95) 69% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (8-0) 36%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 128.1, #164, D6 #10), 92% (bubble if 6-4), 7% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. #11 at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 121.8, #206, D6 #14), 26% (likely needs 7-3), 2% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 5 (4-1, 122.8, #199, D6 #13), 37% (likely needs 7-3), 6% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 4 (3-1, 119.8, #220, D6 #14), 30% (likely needs 7-3), 4% home (likely needs 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 3 (2-1, 128.5, #154, D6 #11), 51% (likely needs 7-3), 14% home (likely needs 8-2), 2% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 2 (2-0, 125.7, #182, D6 #12), 61% (bubble if 6-4), 21% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 136.0, #116, D6 #8), 87% (bubble if 6-4), 60% home (maybe if 7-3), 25% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 131.7, #139, D6 #8), 79% (bubble if 5-5), 59% home (maybe if 7-3), 31% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 130.3