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Rankings
#18 of 107 in Division 6
#7 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #43 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #38 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #364 Wauseon (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 16 (77%)
08/28 A #204 Delta (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 7 (36%)
09/04 A #498 Bryan (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 28 (94%)
09/11 A #614 Hicksville (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 39 (99%)
09/18 H #545 Ayersville (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 34 (98%)
09/25 A #400 Tinora (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 16 (85%)
10/02 H #308 Paulding (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 11 (76%)
10/09 A #571 Antwerp (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/16 H #455 Edgerton (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/23 H #473 Wayne Trace (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 28 (97%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
14.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
77% (bubble if 6-4), 58% home (maybe if 8-2), 27% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 15.60 ( 0.50-25.15) 85% in, 68% home, 34% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 39%
Lose: 9.60 ( 0.00-20.90) 49% in, 27% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 12%
Based on eventual number of wins
(19%) 10W: 19.50 (15.90-25.15) 100% home, 87% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 87%
(23%) 9W: 16.70 (12.65-21.90) 100% in, 98% home, 40% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 40%
(19%) 8W: 14.10 (10.20-20.15) 99% in, 71% home, 8% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 8%
(14%) 7W: 11.60 ( 7.95-17.10) 82% in, 22% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Woodmore (0-0) 8%
(10%) 6W: 9.30 ( 5.75-14.30) 40% in, 3% home, proj. out (#5-out), Paulding (0-0) 11%
( 7%) 5W: 7.25 ( 4.00-11.75) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Tinora (0-0) 12%
( 4%) 4W: 5.30 ( 2.55- 9.80) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 2%) 3W: 3.65 ( 1.85- 8.25) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 2.15 ( 0.85- 5.75) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 0.95 ( 0.35- 3.25) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Paulding (0-0) 5%
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 5%
Woodmore (0-0) 5%
Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 11%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 11%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 10%
Carey (0-0) 8%
Lima Central Catholic (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 114.4, #248, D6 #18), 77% (bubble if 6-4), 58% home (maybe if 8-2), 27% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 8-2
Last season 118.9