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Rankings
#15 of 105 in Division 5
#9 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #15 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #28 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #189 Genoa Area (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 4 (56%)
08/28 A #69 St Henry (0-0) D6 R24, pick: L by 22 (13%)
09/04 H #400 Tinora (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 28 (94%)
09/11 H #204 Delta (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 8 (68%)
09/18 A #401 Evergreen (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 25 (94%)
09/25 A #635 Swanton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 47 (99%)
10/02 H #364 Wauseon (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 25 (95%)
10/09 A #139 Patrick Henry (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/16 H #498 Bryan (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/23 A #15 Liberty Center (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 36 (1%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
12.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
52% (bubble if 6-4), 26% home (maybe if 8-2), 7% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.25 ( 1.90-30.95) 75% in, 43% home, 13% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 17%
Lose: 9.00 ( 0.00-25.65) 21% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Margaretta (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 25.50 (19.85-30.95) 100% home, 91% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 91%
( 8%) 9W: 21.60 (16.15-27.50) 100% in, 95% home, 48% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 48%
(17%) 8W: 18.50 (11.35-25.00) 99% in, 70% home, 9% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 10%
(20%) 7W: 15.25 ( 9.60-21.25) 84% in, 21% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
(19%) 6W: 12.15 ( 7.95-18.10) 39% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Margaretta (0-0) 7%
(15%) 5W: 9.25 ( 5.50-15.10) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Oak Harbor (0-0) 10%
(10%) 4W: 6.70 ( 3.25-13.20) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 6%) 3W: 4.50 ( 1.70- 9.80) out, proj. out
( 3%) 2W: 2.55 ( 0.85- 7.60) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 0.80 ( 0.40- 4.45) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Bluffton (0-0) 7%
Margaretta (0-0) 6%
Norwayne (0-0) 6%
Eastwood (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty-Benton (0-0) 13%
Triway (0-0) 10%
Coldwater (0-0) 9%
Galion (0-0) 9%
Oak Harbor (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 108.0, #293, D5 #36), 51% (bubble if 5-5), 33% home (maybe if 6-4), 14% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 5-5
Last season 132.3