Region 18 home page
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Region 18 playoff probabilities
Region 18 seeding probabilities
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Team history page
Rankings
#95 of 105 in Division 5
#24 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #54 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #84 in D5 (-475 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 13-12 A #640 North Central (0-2) D7 R26, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 51
08/28 L 25-7 H #548 Montpelier (2-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 16 (21%), perf. rating 43
09/04 A #553 Ottawa Hills (2-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 23 (10%)
09/11 A #23 Liberty Center (2-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 49 (1%)
09/18 A #148 Delta (2-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 49 (1%)
09/25 H #56 Archbold (2-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/02 H #508 Bryan (0-2) D4 R14, pick: L by 25 (5%)
10/09 A #556 Evergreen (0-2) D6 R22, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/16 H #180 Patrick Henry (2-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 48 (1%)
10/23 H #397 Wauseon (0-2) D4 R14, pick: L by 34 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.42 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 0.98 ( 0.82- 3.00) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.42 ( 0.35- 2.79) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 3W: 1.41 ( 1.23- 1.94) out, proj. out
(22%) 2W: 0.92 ( 0.75- 1.32) out, proj. out
(72%) 1W: 0.42 ( 0.35- 0.56) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 6%) WLLLLLLL: 0.93 ( 0.82- 1.12) out
( 5%) LLLLWLLL: 0.93 ( 0.85- 1.09) out
( 8%) LLLLLWLL: 0.82 ( 0.75- 1.04) out
(72%) LLLLLLLL: 0.42 ( 0.35- 0.56) out
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (1-1, 48.6, #637, D5 #95), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (1-0, 51.5, #634, D5 #95), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 0 (0-0, 50.6, #635, D5 #95), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 50.0