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Rankings
#16 of 107 in Division 6
#6 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #17 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #35 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #545 Ayersville (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 35 (95%)
08/28 H #248 Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 7 (64%)
09/04 A #243 Gibsonburg (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 2 (54%)
09/11 A #169 Archbold (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 8 (32%)
09/18 H #635 Swanton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 46 (99%)
09/25 A #364 Wauseon (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 17 (86%)
10/02 H #139 Patrick Henry (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 10 (26%)
10/09 H #15 Liberty Center (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/16 A #401 Evergreen (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 21 (92%)
10/23 H #498 Bryan (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 33 (99%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
11.29 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#10 seed in R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
65% (bubble if 5-5), 45% home (maybe if 7-3), 22% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 12.50 ( 0.35-28.90) 67% in, 46% home, 23% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 35%
Lose: 6.04 ( 0.00-25.47) 27% in, 13% home, 4% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 15%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 10W: 25.01 (20.61-28.90) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(12%) 9W: 20.67 (14.76-25.47) 100% in, 99% home, 93% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#11), bye 93%
(16%) 8W: 17.29 (12.49-22.69) 99% in, 98% home, 50% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 50%
(17%) 7W: 14.21 ( 8.71-20.07) 99% in, 70% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
(17%) 6W: 11.29 ( 6.54-17.25) 78% in, 19% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
(15%) 5W: 8.51 ( 4.22-14.07) 27% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 10%
(11%) 4W: 6.04 ( 3.21-11.95) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out)
( 6%) 3W: 4.03 ( 1.75- 9.08) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 3%) 2W: 2.26 ( 0.80- 6.15) out, proj. out
( 1%) 1W: 0.85 ( 0.35- 3.23) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 5%
Crestview (Ashland) (0-0) 5%
Woodmore (0-0) 5%
Paulding (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 14%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 12%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 9%
Carey (0-0) 8%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 119.7, #204, D6 #16), 65% (bubble if 5-5), 45% home (maybe if 7-3), 22% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 6-4
Last season 125.0