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Rankings
#42 of 107 in Division 6
#16 of 27 in Region 22
Strength of schedule #25 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #37 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #606 Jefferson (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 29 (91%)
08/28 A #546 Ottawa Hills (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 22 (87%)
09/04 H #465 Lake (Millbury) (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 12 (75%)
09/11 A #364 Wauseon (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 6 (36%)
09/18 H #169 Archbold (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 25 (6%)
09/25 H #498 Bryan (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 18 (87%)
10/02 A #15 Liberty Center (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/09 H #635 Swanton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/16 H #204 Delta (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 21 (8%)
10/23 A #139 Patrick Henry (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 31 (2%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
6.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R22 playoffs
Playoff chances now
25% (bubble if 7-3), 9% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.30 ( 0.35-24.10) 27% in, 10% home, 2% bye, proj. out (#1-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
Lose: 3.75 ( 0.00-20.70) 7% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 9W: 17.20 (13.30-21.90) 100% in, 98% home, 50% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 50%
( 7%) 8W: 13.80 (10.10-19.05) 98% in, 63% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
(14%) 7W: 10.95 ( 6.90-16.75) 71% in, 14% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Woodmore (0-0) 9%
(20%) 6W: 8.55 ( 5.20-14.60) 24% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 9%
(21%) 5W: 6.65 ( 3.40-12.20) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 11%
(16%) 4W: 4.90 ( 2.10-10.90) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(11%) 3W: 3.30 ( 1.30- 8.10) out, proj. out
( 6%) 2W: 1.90 ( 0.80- 5.65) out, proj. out
( 2%) 1W: 0.75 ( 0.35- 3.90) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
W. Reserve (Collins) (0-0) 8%
Paulding (0-0) 7%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 7%
Woodmore (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty Center (0-0) 24%
Columbus Grove (0-0) 15%
Carey (0-0) 8%
Patrick Henry (0-0) 8%
Fairview (Sherwood) (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 96.1, #401, D6 #42), 25% (bubble if 7-3), 9% home (maybe if 8-2), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 95.7