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Rankings
#36 of 107 in Division 6
#8 of 26 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #78 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #54 in D6 (-106 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 32-20 A #448 Crooksville (2-1) D6 R23, pick: W by 9 (66%), perf. rating 107
08/28 L 27-20 H #318 Toronto (3-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 2 (46%), perf. rating 94
09/04 W 58-14 H #565 Conotton Valley (2-1) D7 R27, pick: W by 20 (87%), perf. rating 129
09/11 A #475 Utica (0-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 18 (86%)
09/18 H #453 Caldwell (1-2) D6 R23, pick: W by 19 (88%)
09/25 A #614 Malvern (1-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/02 H #403 Strasburg-Franklin (3-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 11 (76%)
10/09 H #676 Tuscarawas Cent. Cath. (1-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/16 A #479 East Canton (2-1) D7 R25, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/23 A #623 Buckeye Trail (0-3) D6 R23, pick: W by 37 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
19.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
97% (bubble if 5-5), 87% home (maybe if 7-3), 60% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.15 ( 6.80-23.50) 99% in, 91% home, 65% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 66%
Lose: 14.35 ( 5.30-20.95) 85% in, 61% home, 28% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 33%
Based on eventual number of wins
(50%) 9W: 19.20 (14.40-23.50) 100% in, 99% home, 93% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 93%
(28%) 8W: 16.45 (12.20-21.85) 100% in, 97% home, 45% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 45%
(13%) 7W: 13.85 (10.05-19.05) 99% in, 64% home, 6% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), West Jefferson (2-1) 9%
( 6%) 6W: 11.65 ( 7.75-16.25) 82% in, 18% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Elgin (3-0) 11%
( 2%) 5W: 9.60 ( 6.80-12.85) 31% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), West Jefferson (2-1) 12%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(50%) WWWWWWW: 19.20 (14.40-23.50) 100% in, 99% home, 93% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 93%
( 4%) LWWWWWW: 17.77 (14.80-20.95) 100% home, 79% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 79%
( 5%) WLWWWWW: 17.20 (13.85-20.50) 100% in, 98% home, 57% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 57%
( 6%) WWWWWLW: 16.20 (12.65-20.25) 100% in, 98% home, 41% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 41%
(12%) WWWLWWW: 15.65 (12.20-19.00) 100% in, 95% home, 27% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#12), bye 27%
( 3%) WLWLWWW: 13.50 (10.55-15.95) 98% in, 55% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#4-out), West Jefferson (2-1) 11%
( 4%) WWWLWLW: 12.85 (10.05-16.05) 97% in, 47% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), West Jefferson (2-1) 11%
( 1%) LLWLWLW: 9.40 ( 7.20-12.00) 25% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Elgin (3-0) 13%
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (2-1, 103.6, #343, D6 #36), 97% (bubble if 5-5), 87% home (maybe if 7-3), 60% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 2 (1-1, 97.2, #383, D6 #41), 87% (bubble if 5-5), 72% home (maybe if 6-4), 43% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 99.0, #374, D6 #36), 86% (bubble if 5-5), 68% home (maybe if 7-3), 38% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 96.3, #397, D6 #39), 71% (bubble if 5-5), 53% home (maybe if 7-3), 28% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Last season 98.1