Region 23 home page
Region 23 projections
Region 23 playoff probabilities
Region 23 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 23 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#48 of 107 in Division 6
#14 of 27 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #74 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #68 in D6 (-328 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 21-12 H #410 Crooksville (4-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 19 (81%), perf. rating 78
08/29 W 28-21 H #556 Harrison Central (0-4) D5 R17, pick: W by 10 (69%), perf. rating 79
09/05 W 52-20 A #610 Conotton Valley (2-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 12 (75%), perf. rating 108
09/12 L 26-16 A #374 Toronto (4-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 16 (17%), perf. rating 87
09/19 H #395 Claymont (3-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 7 (33%)
09/26 H #469 East Canton (4-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/03 A #699 Tuscarawas Cent. Cath. (1-3) D7 R27, pick: W by 45 (99%)
10/10 H #481 Malvern (2-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/17 A #537 Strasburg-Franklin (4-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 11 (77%)
10/24 H #635 Buckeye Trail (0-4) D6 R23, pick: W by 29 (97%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
11.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
64% (bubble if 6-4), 33% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.75 ( 7.10-20.70) 91% in, 67% home, 19% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 20%
Lose: 11.65 ( 3.25-17.50) 50% in, 16% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#3-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 15%
Based on eventual number of wins
(18%) 8W: 17.80 (14.30-20.70) 100% in, 98% home, 33% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 33%
(30%) 7W: 14.90 (11.85-18.50) 99% in, 48% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 15%
(25%) 6W: 11.90 ( 8.70-15.40) 61% in, 2% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 15%
(18%) 5W: 9.10 ( 6.00-12.90) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 8%) 4W: 6.35 ( 4.15-10.10) out, proj. out
( 1%) 3W: 5.20 ( 3.40- 7.35) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(18%) WWWWWW: 17.80 (14.30-20.70) 100% in, 98% home, 33% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 33%
(19%) LWWWWW: 15.00 (12.25-17.50) 99% in, 51% home, 1% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 15%
( 7%) LWWLWW: 12.18 ( 9.70-14.30) 69% in, 3% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 15%
( 9%) LLWWWW: 11.85 ( 9.05-14.05) 58% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 14%
( 5%) LWWWLW: 11.72 ( 8.70-14.10) 55% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Grove City Christian (3-1) 17%
( 7%) LLWLWW: 9.15 ( 7.00-11.45) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out), Colonel Crawford (4-0) 25%
( 5%) LLWWLW: 8.60 ( 6.00-10.90) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), Colonel Crawford (4-0) 20%
( 6%) LLWLLW: 6.18 ( 4.15- 8.00) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 87.1, #442, D6 #48), 64% (bubble if 6-4), 33% home (maybe if 7-3), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 3 (2-1, 87.4, #444, D6 #47), 65% (bubble if 6-4), 39% home (maybe if 7-3), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 79.1, #511, D6 #63), 36% (bubble if 6-4), 15% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 78.1, #525, D6 #64), 34% (bubble if 6-4), 16% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 88.9, #456, D6 #45), 63% (bubble if 6-4), 43% home (maybe if 7-3), 19% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 7-3
Last season 93.0