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Rankings
#99 of 100 in Division 2
#25 of 25 in Region 5
Strength of schedule #98 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #100 in D2 (-990 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 39-12 A #581 Champion (2-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 27
08/28 L 50-0 A #528 Cuyahoga Falls (1-1) D2 R5, pick: L by 25 (10%), perf. rating 15
09/05 A #627 East Technical (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 19 (14%)
09/10 H #678 St Thomas Aquinas (1-1) D6 R21, pick: W by 10 (72%)
09/18 H #409 Mogadore (1-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 39 (1%)
09/26 H #273 Buchtel (0-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 48 (1%)
10/03 A #456 Garfield (0-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/09 H #234 East (Akron) (1-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 49 (1%)
10/17 H #501 Ellet (0-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 33 (1%)
10/24 A #559 Firestone (0-2) D2 R5, pick: L by 31 (2%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.47 Harbin points (divisor 98)
out of R5 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 1.08 ( 0.55- 3.18) out, proj. out
Lose: 0.44 ( 0.00- 2.71) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 3W: 1.71 ( 1.47- 2.16) out, proj. out
(15%) 2W: 1.08 ( 0.87- 1.51) out, proj. out
(56%) 1W: 0.47 ( 0.44- 0.95) out, proj. out
(26%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LWLLLLLW: 1.09 ( 1.04- 1.28) out
( 9%) WWLLLLLL: 1.08 ( 0.99- 1.34) out
(52%) LWLLLLLL: 0.47 ( 0.44- 0.64) out
(26%) LLLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (0-2, 35.6, #661, D2 #99), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 39.7, #661, D2 #99), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 53.6, #626, D2 #99), 3% (bubble if 8-2), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Last season 52.9