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Rankings
#59 of 107 in Division 3
#14 of 26 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #95 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #60 in D3 (-235 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 20-19 A #474 Maysville (2-2) D4 R15, pick: W by 18 (80%), perf. rating 83
08/29 W 50-21 H #614 Cambridge (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 37 (97%), perf. rating 99
09/05 W 28-7 H #404 West Muskingum (1-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 124
09/12 W 48-0 A #534 Coshocton (1-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 23 (91%), perf. rating 139
09/19 A #298 Sheridan (2-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 2 (44%)
09/26 H #414 Meadowbrook (1-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 18 (87%)
10/03 A #349 Morgan (2-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/10 H #648 River View (0-4) D5 R18, pick: W by 43 (99%)
10/17 H #291 Philo (3-1) D4 R15, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/24 A #84 Tri-Valley (3-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 30 (2%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
10.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
50% (likely needs 7-3), 7% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.55 ( 6.25-23.15) 81% in, 14% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Bloom-Carroll (2-2) 15%
Lose: 9.75 ( 4.10-20.00) 24% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Granville (3-1) 18%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 9W: 20.65 (19.10-23.15) 100% in, 97% home, 3% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Athens (4-0) 19%
(21%) 8W: 16.35 (14.35-20.00) 99% in, 25% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Bishop Hartley (3-1) 15%
(27%) 7W: 13.22 (11.00-17.30) 81% in, 1% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Granville (3-1) 18%
(26%) 6W: 10.25 ( 8.10-14.75) 19% in, proj. out (#9-out), Granville (3-1) 20%
(18%) 5W: 7.50 ( 6.00-11.45) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 6%) 4W: 5.50 ( 4.15- 9.05) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWWWWW: 20.65 (19.10-23.15) 100% in, 97% home, 3% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#9), Athens (4-0) 19%
(20%) WWWWWL: 16.35 (14.35-18.80) 99% in, 23% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Linden McKinley (4-0) 15%
(12%) LWWWWL: 13.50 (11.30-17.30) 74% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Granville (3-1) 17%
( 8%) WWWWLL: 12.80 (11.00-16.10) 83% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Granville (3-1) 18%
( 6%) LWLWWL: 10.35 ( 8.40-12.65) 16% in, proj. out (#10-out), Granville (3-1) 19%
(10%) LWWWLL: 10.00 ( 8.45-13.65) 15% in, proj. out (#10-out), Granville (3-1) 22%
(13%) LWLWLL: 7.40 ( 6.00- 9.80) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Bishop Hartley (3-1) 29%
( 6%) LLLWLL: 5.50 ( 4.15- 8.25) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (3-1, 109.2, #301, D3 #59), 50% (likely needs 7-3), 7% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 3 (2-1, 106.8, #317, D3 #62), 49% (bubble if 6-4), 10% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 101.8, #347, D3 #67), 34% (bubble if 7-3), 12% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 1 (0-1, 101.4, #349, D3 #70), 17% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 108.2, #289, D3 #58), 30% (bubble if 8-2), 11% home (maybe if 9-1), 2% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 106.1