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Rankings
#93 of 103 in Division 7
#22 of 27 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #86 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #93 in D7 (-762 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 46-0 A #506 Shenandoah (3-1) D6 R23, pick: L by 22 (16%), perf. rating 17
08/28 L 62-13 H #554 Conotton Valley (2-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 27 (9%), perf. rating 6
09/04 L 41-7 H #593 Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (1-3) D7 R27, pick: L by 20 (13%), perf. rating 8
09/11 L 49-0 A #586 Grove City Christian (1-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 32 (3%), perf. rating 2
09/18 H #645 Fisher Catholic (3-1) D7 R27, pick: L by 19 (12%)
09/25 A #684 Fairfield Christian (1-3) D7 R27, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/02 A #544 Caldwell (1-3) D6 R23, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/09 H #688 Miller (0-4) D7 R27, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/16 A #689 Millersport (2-2) D7 R27, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/23 H #591 Berne Union (2-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 30 (2%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
0.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.65 ( 1.40- 9.85) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Eastern (Reedsville) (3-1) 26%
Lose: 1.15 ( 0.00- 7.30) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 5W: 7.95 ( 5.95- 9.85) 58% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out)
( 5%) 4W: 5.70 ( 4.05- 7.60) 2% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(17%) 3W: 3.25 ( 2.30- 6.90) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(26%) 2W: 2.10 ( 1.15- 4.80) out, proj. out
(28%) 1W: 0.80 ( 0.35- 3.30) out, proj. out
(22%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWLWWW: 8.00 ( 7.60- 9.85) 72% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#8-out), Eastern (Reedsville) (3-1) 23%
(12%) LWLWWL: 3.25 ( 3.25- 4.55) out
( 7%) LWLWLL: 1.85 ( 1.50- 3.00) out
(12%) LLLWWL: 1.75 ( 1.75- 3.80) out
( 9%) LLLLWL: 1.05 ( 1.05- 2.55) out
( 5%) LWLLLL: 0.80 ( 0.80- 2.35) out
(12%) LLLWLL: 0.35 ( 0.35- 1.85) out
(22%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 21.9, #687, D7 #93), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 3 (0-3, 24.6, #682, D7 #89), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 2 (0-2, 32.5, #666, D7 #83), 10% (bubble if 5-5), 2% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 38.3, #662, D7 #81), 22% (bubble if 5-5), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 48.0, #645, D7 #78), 32% (bubble if 5-5), 17% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 49.2