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Rankings
#78 of 103 in Division 7
#20 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #49 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #88 in D7 (-585 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/29 L 33-0 A #537 St John School (6-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 22 (87%), perf. rating 27
09/04 L by forfeit A #508 Grand Valley (6-2) D6 R21 (no game)
09/10 W 22-12 H #657 Beachwood (3-5) D5 R17, pick: W by 26 (94%), perf. rating 52
09/17 L 20-16 A #660 Brooklyn (2-6) D5 R18, pick: W by 16 (84%), perf. rating 34
09/25 L 40-0 A #544 Rootstown (3-5) D6 R21, pick: L by 28 (4%), perf. rating 15
10/02 L 30-20 A #649 Trinity (1-7) D4 R13, pick: L by 7 (33%), perf. rating 30
10/10 L 42-0 H #420 Wickliffe (7-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 36 (1%), perf. rating 27
10/16 A #589 Independence (4-4) D7 R25, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/23 H #332 Cuyahoga Heights (7-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 43 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-8 record
1.78 Harbin points (divisor 90)
out of R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
2% (bubble if 2-7), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.61 ( 4.11- 9.33) 19% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Mogadore (6-2) 39%
Lose: 1.78 ( 1.78- 6.50) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 8%) 2W: 4.61 ( 4.11- 6.50) 26% in, proj. out (#10-out), Mogadore (6-2) 36%
(92%) 1W: 1.78 ( 1.78- 2.72) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LW: 6.50 ( 5.83- 6.50) 80% in, proj. #12 (#10-out), Mogadore (6-2) 28%
( 7%) WL: 4.61 ( 4.11- 5.56) 18% in, proj. out (#10-out), Mogadore (6-2) 42%
(92%) LL: 1.78 ( 1.78- 2.72) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-5, 38.3, #660, D7 #78), 2% (bubble if 2-7), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-8
Week 6 (1-4, 40.0, #653, D7 #76), 3% (bubble if 3-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-8
Week 5 (1-3, 44.2, #642, D7 #72), 6% (bubble if 3-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-7
Week 4 (1-2, 47.5, #638, D7 #70), 17% (likely needs 4-5), 4% home (likely needs 5-4), proj. out at 2-7
Week 3 (0-2, 51.5, #625, D7 #66), 15% (likely needs 4-5), 4% home (likely needs 5-4), proj. out at 3-6
Week 2 (0-1, 51.1, #632, D7 #66), 18% (bubble if 4-5), 7% home (maybe if 5-4), 2% bye (maybe if 6-3), proj. out at 2-7
Week 1 (0-0, 77.2, #509, D7 #35), 85% (bubble if 4-5), 68% home (maybe if 5-4), 37% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #5 at 6-3
Week 0 (0-0, 77.2, #513, D7 #39), 78% (bubble if 4-5), 55% home (maybe if 6-3), 25% bye (maybe if 7-2), proj. #8 at 6-3
Last season 81.5