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Rankings
#47 of 107 in Division 7
#9 of 25 in Region 27
Strength of schedule #78 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #29 in D7 (+45 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 56-8 A #689 Windham (0-4) D7 R25, pick: L by 17 (22%), perf. rating 89
08/30 W 20-12 A #612 Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (3-1) D7 R27, pick: W by 20 (84%), perf. rating 72
09/05 W 47-14 H #680 Leetonia (2-2) D7 R25, pick: W by 35 (97%), perf. rating 80
09/12 W 34-22 A #610 Conotton Valley (2-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 13 (78%), perf. rating 78
09/19 H #607 Sandy Valley (0-4) D5 R17, pick: W by 17 (86%)
09/26 H #481 Malvern (2-2) D7 R25, pick: L by 5 (38%)
10/03 A #469 East Canton (4-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 11 (24%)
10/10 H #635 Buckeye Trail (0-4) D6 R23, pick: W by 22 (93%)
10/17 H #442 Newcomerstown (2-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 11 (23%)
10/24 A #699 Tuscarawas Cent. Cath. (1-3) D7 R27, pick: W by 39 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
12.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R27 playoffs
Playoff chances now
98% (likely in at 5-5 or better), 67% home (maybe if 7-3), 24% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.95 ( 6.60-20.75) 99% in, 71% home, 26% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 27%
Lose: 9.90 ( 6.40-19.25) 94% in, 42% home, 8% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), Conotton Valley (2-2) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 10W: 17.85 (15.40-20.75) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(18%) 9W: 15.00 (12.15-19.25) 100% home, 73% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 73%
(28%) 8W: 12.40 ( 9.20-17.55) 100% in, 94% home, 13% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#12), bye 13%
(33%) 7W: 10.05 ( 7.25-15.40) 98% in, 41% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (3-1) 10%
(12%) 6W: 9.25 ( 6.60-12.35) 93% in, 17% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Trimble (3-1) 13%
( 2%) 5W: 8.50 ( 6.40-11.45) 80% in, 6% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (3-1) 14%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 7%) WWWWWW: 17.85 (15.40-20.75) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
( 7%) WWWWLW: 15.20 (12.25-17.80) 100% home, 78% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 78%
( 7%) WWLWWW: 14.75 (12.15-17.15) 100% home, 65% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 65%
( 7%) WLWWLW: 12.70 ( 9.90-15.35) 100% in, 97% home, 15% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#10), bye 15%
(12%) WWLWLW: 12.25 ( 9.80-15.20) 100% in, 92% home, 8% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#12), River (3-1) 12%
( 8%) WLLWWW: 12.05 ( 9.20-14.95) 100% in, 92% home, 8% bye, proj. #6 (#2-#11), River (3-1) 13%
(26%) WLLWLW: 9.80 ( 7.25-12.55) 98% in, 31% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (3-1) 11%
( 2%) LLLLLW: 8.50 ( 6.40-11.45) 78% in, 5% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Catholic Cent. (Steub.) (3-1) 15%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 74.0, #537, D7 #47), 98% (likely in at 5-5 or better), 67% home (maybe if 7-3), 24% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 74.0, #539, D7 #47), 85% (bubble if 5-5), 51% home (maybe if 7-3), 15% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 76.7, #533, D7 #45), 80% (bubble if 5-5), 55% home (maybe if 7-3), 24% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 81.0, #505, D7 #38), 79% (bubble if 5-5), 56% home (maybe if 7-3), 27% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 53.9, #631, D7 #66), 25% (bubble if 5-5), 11% home (maybe if 6-4), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 57.5