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Rankings
#27 of 80 in Division 1
#5 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #17 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #21 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #46 Lakota East (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 7 (37%)
08/28 H Murfreesboro Oakland TN (0-0) D1
09/04 H #54 Olentangy Berlin (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 2 (46%)
09/11 A #52 Kettering Fairmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 6 (36%)
09/18 H #28 Springfield (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 11 (25%)
09/25 A #167 Beavercreek (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/02 A #177 Miamisburg (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 21 (91%)
10/09 H #302 Northmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/16 A #58 Springboro (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/23 H #42 Wayne (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 4 (40%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
13.40 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#9 seed in R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
73% (bubble if 4-6), 51% home (maybe if 5-5), 28% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.82 ( 0.65-41.95) 93% in, 77% home, 51% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 54%
Lose: 10.93 ( 0.00-36.05) 61% in, 35% home, 14% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 23%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 10W: 34.25 (26.60-41.95) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 7%) 9W: 30.19 (21.81-39.18) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(11%) 8W: 25.65 (16.77-34.09) 100% in, 99% home, 87% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 87%
(13%) 7W: 21.22 (12.13-30.36) 100% in, 98% home, 49% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 49%
(14%) 6W: 17.23 ( 9.66-25.16) 99% in, 80% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 10%
(14%) 5W: 13.40 ( 7.59-22.44) 96% in, 36% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 11%
(14%) 4W: 9.67 ( 5.13-18.16) 65% in, 4% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
(11%) 3W: 6.80 ( 3.11-13.36) 17% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Whitmer (0-0) 11%
( 8%) 2W: 3.93 ( 1.81-10.49) 2% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 4%) 1W: 1.81 ( 0.65- 5.90) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 7%
Hilliard Davidson (0-0) 5%
Perrysburg (0-0) 4%
Wayne (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Whitmer (0-0) 11%
Springfield (0-0) 10%
Kettering Fairmont (0-0) 9%
Wayne (0-0) 9%
Perrysburg (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 147.6, #65, D1 #27), 73% (bubble if 4-6), 51% home (maybe if 5-5), 28% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #9 at 5-5
Last season 142.3