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Rankings
#25 of 80 in Division 1
#9 of 21 in Region 4
Strength of schedule #27 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #74 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #83 Mason (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 9 (66%)
08/28 A #47 Gahanna Lincoln (0-0) D1 R3, pick: L by 5 (40%)
09/04 A #102 Withrow (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 9 (69%)
09/11 H #42 Wayne (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 2 (45%)
09/18 H #302 Northmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 35 (99%)
09/25 A #28 Springfield (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/02 H #167 Beavercreek (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/09 A #52 Kettering Fairmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/16 H #65 Centerville (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/23 A #177 Miamisburg (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 22 (93%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
17.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R4 playoffs
Playoff chances now
77% (bubble if 4-6), 55% home (maybe if 6-4), 28% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.25 ( 0.65-43.50) 90% in, 70% home, 38% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 42%
Lose: 9.65 ( 0.00-37.70) 52% in, 26% home, 7% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 10W: 34.20 (26.75-43.50) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(11%) 9W: 29.45 (20.90-38.40) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 92%
(13%) 8W: 24.95 (18.20-33.95) 100% in, 99% home, 57% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 57%
(13%) 7W: 20.90 (13.80-30.95) 99% in, 94% home, 16% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 16%
(13%) 6W: 17.00 ( 9.65-27.65) 99% in, 64% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Elder (0-0) 9%
(12%) 5W: 13.30 ( 7.10-21.85) 94% in, 21% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
(10%) 4W: 10.00 ( 5.20-17.90) 63% in, 3% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Elder (0-0) 11%
( 9%) 3W: 6.85 ( 3.05-14.35) 19% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Elder (0-0) 13%
( 6%) 2W: 3.80 ( 1.85-11.10) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 4%) 1W: 1.25 ( 0.65- 6.50) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Elder (0-0) 6%
Lebanon (0-0) 5%
Middletown (0-0) 4%
Hamilton (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Archbishop Moeller (0-0) 12%
St Xavier (0-0) 11%
Elder (0-0) 10%
Winton Woods (0-0) 10%
Princeton (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 149.6, #58, D1 #25), 77% (bubble if 4-6), 55% home (maybe if 6-4), 28% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #7 at 6-4
Last season 149.8