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Rankings
#23 of 80 in Division 1
#4 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #18 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #30 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/20 H #64 Archbishop Alter (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 6 (61%)
08/28 A #39 Trotwood-Madison (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 5 (40%)
09/04 H #36 La Salle (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 2 (46%)
09/11 H #65 Centerville (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 6 (64%)
09/18 A #42 Wayne (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 4 (40%)
09/25 H #177 Miamisburg (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 26 (95%)
10/02 A #302 Northmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/09 H #58 Springboro (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 5 (63%)
10/16 A #28 Springfield (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 11 (23%)
10/23 H #167 Beavercreek (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 25 (95%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
16.93 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#5 seed in R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
77% (bubble if 4-6), 59% home (maybe if 5-5), 36% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 21.72 ( 1.11-40.39) 90% in, 75% home, 51% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 56%
Lose: 10.07 ( 0.00-35.80) 56% in, 33% home, 14% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 25%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 8%) 10W: 33.93 (27.51-40.39) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(11%) 9W: 29.44 (21.16-37.06) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(13%) 8W: 25.00 (18.43-32.93) 100% home, 85% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 85%
(12%) 7W: 20.92 (14.55-28.24) 100% in, 99% home, 45% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 45%
(13%) 6W: 16.93 (10.97-24.35) 99% in, 82% home, 9% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
(12%) 5W: 13.20 ( 8.30-20.42) 95% in, 33% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
(11%) 4W: 9.82 ( 5.13-17.10) 66% in, 4% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 9%
( 9%) 3W: 6.60 ( 3.62-12.66) 15% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 11%
( 7%) 2W: 3.72 ( 1.65-10.85) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 3%) 1W: 1.31 ( 0.65- 6.46) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 5%
Hilliard Davidson (0-0) 4%
Westland (0-0) 4%
Grove City (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Whitmer (0-0) 10%
Springfield (0-0) 9%
Wayne (0-0) 9%
Perrysburg (0-0) 9%
Centerville (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 152.1, #52, D1 #23), 77% (bubble if 4-6), 59% home (maybe if 5-5), 36% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 6-4
Last season 150.9