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Rankings
#20 of 80 in Division 1
#3 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #14 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #37 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #101 Fairfield (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 13 (72%)
08/28 H #10 St Xavier (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 21 (15%)
09/04 H #5 St Edward (0-0) D1 R1, pick: L by 23 (10%)
09/11 A #58 Springboro (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 2 (55%)
09/18 H #52 Kettering Fairmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 4 (60%)
09/25 A #302 Northmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/02 A #28 Springfield (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 9 (28%)
10/09 H #177 Miamisburg (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/16 H #167 Beavercreek (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/23 A #65 Centerville (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 4 (60%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
17.23 Harbin points (divisor 99)
#4 seed in R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
77% (bubble if 4-6), 57% home (maybe if 5-5), 31% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 18.64 ( 0.65-41.50) 88% in, 69% home, 39% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 45%
Lose: 9.01 ( 0.00-34.89) 51% in, 26% home, 9% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 17%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 10W: 33.82 (24.43-41.50) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 7%) 9W: 29.89 (21.25-37.92) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#7), bye 99%
(12%) 8W: 25.71 (15.96-34.64) 100% in, 99% home, 90% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#9), bye 90%
(15%) 7W: 21.27 (12.78-30.06) 100% in, 99% home, 52% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 52%
(16%) 6W: 17.23 (10.21-26.98) 99% in, 83% home, 10% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 10%
(15%) 5W: 13.30 ( 7.54-21.33) 96% in, 36% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
(13%) 4W: 9.72 ( 5.02-17.40) 64% in, 4% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 9%
( 9%) 3W: 6.44 ( 2.61-13.62) 13% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
( 6%) 2W: 3.77 ( 1.30-10.34) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 3%) 1W: 1.31 ( 0.65- 6.56) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 6%
Hilliard Davidson (0-0) 5%
Westland (0-0) 4%
Grove City (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Springfield (0-0) 11%
Whitmer (0-0) 11%
Kettering Fairmont (0-0) 9%
Perrysburg (0-0) 9%
Centerville (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 154.1, #42, D1 #20), 77% (bubble if 4-6), 57% home (maybe if 5-5), 31% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 6-4
Last season 153.8