Region 2 home page
Region 2 projections
Region 2 playoff probabilities
Region 2 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 2 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#17 of 79 in Division 1
#2 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #14 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #7 in D1 (+400 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 14-13 H #26 Winton Woods (7-1) D1 R4, pick: W by 3 (55%), perf. rating 164
08/28 L by forfeit A #10 Walsh Jesuit (6-1) D2 R5 (no game)
09/04 L 25-9 H #22 Trotwood-Madison (7-1) D2 R8, pick: W by 10 (71%), perf. rating 140
09/11 W 41-14 H #181 Miamisburg (4-4) D1 R2, pick: W by 23 (91%), perf. rating 164
09/18 W 29-12 A #96 Centerville (2-6) D1 R2, pick: W by 24 (93%), perf. rating 166
09/25 W 24-20 H #61 Springboro (5-3) D1 R4, pick: W by 13 (80%), perf. rating 152
10/02 W 43-12 H #65 Wayne (4-4) D1 R2, pick: W by 9 (72%), perf. rating 191
10/09 W 21-0 A #143 Beavercreek (4-4) D1 R2, pick: W by 25 (95%), perf. rating 164
10/16 H #87 Kettering Fairmont (3-5) D1 R2, pick: W by 22 (93%)
10/23 A #316 Northmont (1-7) D1 R2, pick: W by 38 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
29.08 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#2 seed in R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 29.08 (27.20-29.69) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
Lose: 25.83 (24.61-27.10) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#3), bye 100%
Based on eventual number of wins
(92%) 8W: 29.08 (28.41-29.69) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 8%) 7W: 25.83 (25.16-28.48) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#3), bye 100%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(92%) WW: 29.08 (28.41-29.69) 100% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 7%) LW: 25.83 (25.16-27.10) 100% bye, proj. #3 (#2-#3), bye 100%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 161.4, #31, D1 #17), appears locked in and home bye, proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 6 (4-2, 156.2, #43, D1 #20), appears locked in and likely home, 95% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #2 at 8-2
Week 5 (3-2, 158.7, #38, D1 #17), appears locked in, 98% home, 82% bye (likely needs 7-3), proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 4 (2-2, 158.7, #38, D1 #19), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 5-5), 76% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #3 at 7-3
Week 3 (1-2, 153.8, #51, D1 #24), 98% (bubble if 2-8), 88% home (maybe if 4-6), 59% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #3 at 7-3
Week 2 (1-1, 164.9, #29, D1 #14), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 4-6), 83% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #1 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 160.4, #36, D1 #19), 96% (bubble if 3-7), 88% home (maybe if 5-5), 68% bye (maybe if 6-4), proj. #3 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 160.7, #28, D1 #13), 86% (bubble if 4-6), 71% home (maybe if 5-5), 50% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 7-3
Last season 164.9