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Rankings
#13 of 80 in Division 1
#1 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #13 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #35 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #29 Winton Woods (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 3 (55%)
08/28 A #4 Walsh Jesuit (0-0) D2 R5, pick: L by 21 (15%)
09/04 H #39 Trotwood-Madison (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 8 (67%)
09/11 H #177 Miamisburg (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 31 (97%)
09/18 A #65 Centerville (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 11 (75%)
09/25 H #58 Springboro (0-0) D1 R4, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/02 H #42 Wayne (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/09 A #167 Beavercreek (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 28 (97%)
10/16 H #52 Kettering Fairmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 11 (77%)
10/23 A #302 Northmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 38 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
22.20 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#1 seed in R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
86% (bubble if 4-6), 71% home (maybe if 5-5), 50% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 26.39 ( 2.59-41.76) 97% in, 88% home, 70% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 72%
Lose: 14.12 ( 0.00-35.49) 72% in, 50% home, 25% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 34%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 10W: 35.28 (28.08-41.76) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
(15%) 9W: 31.31 (22.94-38.71) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(16%) 8W: 26.78 (18.77-34.84) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 95%
(15%) 7W: 22.20 (15.11-31.03) 100% in, 99% home, 63% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 63%
(13%) 6W: 17.98 (11.81-27.27) 99% in, 90% home, 17% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 17%
(11%) 5W: 13.86 ( 7.43-21.21) 98% in, 43% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 12%
( 9%) 4W: 10.20 ( 5.61-17.65) 72% in, 5% home, proj. #11 (#5-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 9%
( 6%) 3W: 6.77 ( 3.17-13.02) 17% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Perrysburg (0-0) 11%
( 4%) 2W: 3.85 ( 1.96-12.22) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 2%) 1W: 1.31 ( 0.60- 6.42) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 4%
Hilliard Davidson (0-0) 3%
Westland (0-0) 3%
Hilliard Bradley (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Wayne (0-0) 9%
Whitmer (0-0) 9%
Perrysburg (0-0) 8%
Kettering Fairmont (0-0) 8%
Centerville (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 160.7, #28, D1 #13), 86% (bubble if 4-6), 71% home (maybe if 5-5), 50% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #1 at 7-3
Last season 164.9