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Rankings
#71 of 80 in Division 1
#19 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #23 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #33 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #114 Lebanon (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 28 (10%)
08/28 A #36 La Salle (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 38 (3%)
09/04 H #402 KIPP Columbus (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 12 (75%)
09/11 A #167 Beavercreek (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 22 (10%)
09/18 A #58 Springboro (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 35 (1%)
09/25 H #42 Wayne (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/02 H #52 Kettering Fairmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/09 A #65 Centerville (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 34 (1%)
10/16 A #177 Miamisburg (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 20 (9%)
10/23 H #28 Springfield (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 38 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
1.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
12% (bubble if 4-6), 4% home (maybe if 6-4)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.90 ( 0.65-34.80) 40% in, 17% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 12%
Lose: 2.50 ( 0.00-31.50) 8% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 7W: 19.65 (13.20-25.35) 100% in, 95% home, 31% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#10), bye 31%
( 2%) 6W: 15.75 (10.40-24.60) 98% in, 67% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
( 4%) 5W: 12.10 ( 6.80-19.45) 86% in, 19% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
( 7%) 4W: 9.05 ( 3.65-16.95) 48% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Perrysburg (0-0) 9%
(12%) 3W: 6.30 ( 2.50-13.30) 11% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Wayne (0-0) 10%
(22%) 2W: 3.90 ( 1.20-10.55) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(32%) 1W: 1.80 ( 0.55- 6.45) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(20%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 8%
Westland (0-0) 7%
Perrysburg (0-0) 7%
Dublin Jerome (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Whitmer (0-0) 13%
Springfield (0-0) 13%
Perrysburg (0-0) 10%
Kettering Fairmont (0-0) 10%
Wayne (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 106.4, #302, D1 #71), 12% (bubble if 4-6), 4% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. out at 1-9
Last season 103.0