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Rankings
#64 of 72 in Division 1
#18 of 18 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #8 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #62 in D1 (-422 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 20-5 H #75 Lebanon (3-1) D1 R2, pick: L by 6 (39%), perf. rating 121
08/29 L 31-7 H #40 La Salle (3-1) D2 R8, pick: L by 35 (4%), perf. rating 119
09/05 L 42-0 A #49 Withrow (4-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 31 (4%), perf. rating 91
09/12 L 34-0 H #138 Beavercreek (2-2) D1 R2, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 81
09/19 H #59 Springboro (2-2) D1 R2, pick: L by 32 (2%)
09/26 A #32 Wayne (2-2) D1 R2, pick: L by 39 (1%)
10/03 A #47 Kettering Fairmont (1-3) D1 R2, pick: L by 35 (1%)
10/10 H #69 Centerville (0-4) D1 R2, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/17 H #167 Miamisburg (1-3) D2 R8, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/24 A #35 Springfield (1-3) D1 R2, pick: L by 39 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
unlikely to contend for playoffs
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.80 ( 1.90-10.75) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-11.40) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 2W: 4.30 ( 2.40- 8.35) out, proj. out
(18%) 1W: 1.25 ( 0.65- 5.15) out, proj. out
(79%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WLLLLL: 3.15 ( 1.90- 5.10) out
( 1%) LLWLLL: 2.55 ( 1.30- 4.50) out
( 2%) LLLWLL: 1.90 ( 0.65- 3.20) out
(12%) LLLLWL: 1.15 ( 1.15- 3.75) out
(79%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 107.2, #316, D1 #64), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 120.9, #212, D1 #54), 2% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 121.5, #211, D1 #52), 8% (bubble if 4-6), 2% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 120.8, #204, D1 #55), 15% (bubble if 3-7), 4% home (maybe if 5-5), proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 126.3, #173, D1 #52), 34% (bubble if 4-6), 16% home (maybe if 5-5), 6% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 118.8