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Rankings
#51 of 80 in Division 1
#14 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #33 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #20 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #93 Xenia (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 11 (31%)
08/28 A #648 Woodward (Cincy) (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/04 H #78 Harrison (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 16 (19%)
09/11 H #302 Northmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 22 (90%)
09/18 A #177 Miamisburg (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/25 H #65 Centerville (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/02 A #58 Springboro (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/09 H #28 Springfield (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 28 (3%)
10/16 A #42 Wayne (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/23 A #52 Kettering Fairmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 25 (5%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
8.50 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
43% (bubble if 4-6), 23% home (maybe if 6-4), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.75 ( 1.70-39.00) 78% in, 49% home, 21% bye, proj. #9 (#1-out), bye 28%
Lose: 5.40 ( 0.00-33.70) 28% in, 11% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 33.00 (27.10-39.00) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#3), bye 100%
( 2%) 9W: 28.20 (22.15-35.80) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
( 4%) 8W: 23.55 (16.90-30.45) 100% home, 73% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 73%
( 7%) 7W: 19.20 (12.25-27.20) 100% in, 94% home, 23% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#12), bye 23%
(10%) 6W: 15.45 ( 9.45-23.70) 99% in, 61% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
(13%) 5W: 11.70 ( 6.20-20.70) 85% in, 14% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
(16%) 4W: 8.50 ( 4.15-17.50) 39% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Perrysburg (0-0) 9%
(18%) 3W: 5.40 ( 2.20-13.75) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Whitmer (0-0) 9%
(18%) 2W: 2.85 ( 1.15- 9.95) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 9%) 1W: 1.50 ( 0.50- 5.90) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 8%
Perrysburg (0-0) 6%
Westland (0-0) 6%
Hilliard Davidson (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Whitmer (0-0) 13%
Springfield (0-0) 11%
Perrysburg (0-0) 9%
Kettering Fairmont (0-0) 9%
Wayne (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 126.7, #167, D1 #51), 43% (bubble if 4-6), 23% home (maybe if 6-4), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 131.9