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Rankings
#53 of 80 in Division 1
#16 of 20 in Region 2
Strength of schedule #37 in D1 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #32 in D1 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #317 Chaminade Julienne (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 22 (84%)
08/28 A #197 Edgewood (Trenton) (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/04 A #84 Hilliard Davidson (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 20 (13%)
09/11 A #28 Springfield (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 31 (3%)
09/18 H #167 Beavercreek (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/25 A #52 Kettering Fairmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/02 H #65 Centerville (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 21 (9%)
10/09 A #42 Wayne (0-0) D1 R2, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/16 H #302 Northmont (0-0) D1 R2, pick: W by 20 (91%)
10/23 H #58 Springboro (0-0) D1 R4, pick: L by 22 (7%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
7.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R2 playoffs
Playoff chances now
38% (bubble if 4-6), 18% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.05 ( 0.55-37.15) 43% in, 21% home, 7% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 16%
Lose: 2.45 ( 0.00-33.90) 12% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 30.55 (25.65-37.15) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 2%) 9W: 26.15 (20.15-34.55) 100% home, 95% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 95%
( 4%) 8W: 21.70 (15.55-30.00) 100% in, 99% home, 53% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 53%
( 7%) 7W: 17.60 (10.50-25.70) 100% in, 84% home, 12% bye, proj. #7 (#1-#12), bye 12%
(10%) 6W: 14.15 ( 8.50-21.30) 98% in, 43% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 11%
(13%) 5W: 10.95 ( 5.95-20.35) 74% in, 9% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 10%
(16%) 4W: 7.95 ( 3.70-16.55) 29% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Perrysburg (0-0) 9%
(18%) 3W: 5.45 ( 2.35-13.60) 5% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Perrysburg (0-0) 11%
(16%) 2W: 3.15 ( 1.20-10.10) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(11%) 1W: 1.20 ( 0.55- 6.40) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 4%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
St Johns Jesuit (0-0) 9%
Perrysburg (0-0) 6%
Westland (0-0) 6%
Grove City (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
Whitmer (0-0) 13%
Springfield (0-0) 12%
Perrysburg (0-0) 9%
Wayne (0-0) 9%
Kettering Fairmont (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 124.7, #177, D1 #53), 38% (bubble if 4-6), 18% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 126.4