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Rankings
#68 of 105 in Division 5
#17 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #67 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #8 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #547 Jefferson Area (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 10 (68%)
08/28 H #456 Orange (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/04 H #240 West Geauga (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 27 (7%)
09/10 A #323 Fairview (Fairv. Park) (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 22 (10%)
09/18 H #477 Rootstown (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 2 (55%)
09/25 H #35 Kirtland (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 46 (1%)
10/02 A #672 Brooklyn (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 35 (99%)
10/09 A #356 Berkshire (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 20 (9%)
10/16 A #543 Conneaut (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/23 H #499 Crestwood (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 6 (65%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
5.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
23% (bubble if 6-4), 8% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.60 ( 0.50-24.90) 31% in, 11% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Girard (0-0) 8%
Lose: 3.05 ( 0.00-21.50) 7% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Girard (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 9W: 17.80 (13.65-22.90) 100% in, 93% home, 21% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#11), bye 21%
( 6%) 8W: 14.70 ( 9.05-21.10) 98% in, 54% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Martins Ferry (0-0) 8%
(10%) 7W: 11.90 ( 7.05-19.15) 77% in, 15% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Garfield (0-0) 9%
(14%) 6W: 9.30 ( 5.05-15.15) 33% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), Girard (0-0) 10%
(15%) 5W: 7.15 ( 3.55-13.20) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Garfield (0-0) 11%
(16%) 4W: 5.15 ( 2.25-10.75) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
(15%) 3W: 3.50 ( 1.35- 9.20) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(12%) 2W: 2.10 ( 0.85- 7.05) out, proj. out
( 7%) 1W: 0.90 ( 0.40- 5.00) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Girard (0-0) 8%
Garfield (0-0) 8%
Liberty (0-0) 7%
Martins Ferry (0-0) 7%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Perry (0-0) 22%
Barnesville (0-0) 15%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 11%
Manchester (Akron) (0-0) 9%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 147.2, #66, D5 #5), 83% (bubble if 4-6), 67% home (maybe if 5-5), 43% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #4 at 7-3
Last season 78.4