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Rankings
#72 of 101 in Division 4
#16 of 24 in Region 13
Strength of schedule #54 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #13 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #487 John Hay (0-0) D2 R5, pick: W by 6 (61%)
08/28 A #481 Chagrin Falls (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/04 H #323 Fairview (Fairv. Park) (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 16 (19%)
09/10 H #497 Lutheran West (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 9 (70%)
09/18 A #240 West Geauga (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 27 (5%)
09/25 H #213 Hawken (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/02 H #48 Perry (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 43 (1%)
10/09 A #398 Edgewood (Ashtabula) (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 12 (21%)
10/16 H #547 Jefferson Area (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 17 (87%)
10/23 A #97 Geneva (0-0) D3 R9, pick: L by 39 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
5.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R13 playoffs
Playoff chances now
29% (bubble if 5-5), 11% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.48 ( 0.60-30.05) 42% in, 16% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 8%
Lose: 2.30 ( 0.00-25.20) 8% in, 2% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 10%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 22.85 (17.85-28.90) 100% in, 99% home, 71% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 71%
( 3%) 8W: 18.70 (13.05-25.20) 100% in, 92% home, 22% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#11), bye 22%
( 6%) 7W: 15.40 ( 8.80-22.60) 98% in, 59% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Hubbard (0-0) 9%
(10%) 6W: 12.30 ( 5.05-19.50) 85% in, 21% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#4-out), East (Akron) (0-0) 9%
(13%) 5W: 9.60 ( 4.90-17.05) 49% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Norton (0-0) 10%
(15%) 4W: 7.20 ( 2.10-13.45) 16% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Norton (0-0) 12%
(16%) 3W: 5.05 ( 1.50-10.95) 3% in, proj. out (#9-out), Norton (0-0) 14%
(15%) 2W: 3.20 ( 0.95- 9.30) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(13%) 1W: 1.15 ( 0.45- 5.60) out, proj. out
( 8%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
East (Akron) (0-0) 8%
Norton (0-0) 8%
Hubbard (0-0) 8%
Northwest (Canal Fult.) (0-0) 7%
West Geauga (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
West Branch (0-0) 17%
Streetsboro (0-0) 17%
Poland Seminary (0-0) 13%
Rocky River (0-0) 11%
Norton (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 128.5, #159, D4 #14), 94% (bubble if 5-5), 78% home (maybe if 7-3), 38% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Last season 83.2