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Rankings
#2 of 107 in Division 6
#1 of 27 in Region 21
Strength of schedule #23 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #12 in D6 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 N #50 Taft (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 4 (56%)
08/28 A #82 Poland Seminary (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 12 (73%)
09/04 A #48 Perry (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 2 (54%)
09/11 A #477 Rootstown (0-0) D6 R21, pick: W by 46 (99%)
09/18 H #543 Conneaut (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/25 A #481 Chagrin Falls (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 46 (99%)
10/02 A #499 Crestwood (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 48 (99%)
10/09 H #691 Beachwood (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 49 (99%)
10/16 H #323 Fairview (Fairv. Park) (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/23 H #356 Berkshire (0-0) D5 R17, pick: W by 40 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
23.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R21 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 96% home (maybe if 6-4), 83% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 25.75 ( 6.50-35.20) 99% in, 99% home, 97% bye, proj. #1 (#1-out), bye 97%
Lose: 18.15 ( 0.80-29.35) 98% in, 90% home, 64% bye, proj. #3 (#1-out), bye 65%
Based on eventual number of wins
(29%) 10W: 28.25 (19.20-35.20) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(28%) 9W: 23.95 (15.70-31.20) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#7), bye 99%
(21%) 8W: 19.85 (13.05-27.40) 100% in, 99% home, 91% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 91%
(15%) 7W: 16.00 (10.10-24.10) 100% in, 97% home, 43% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#12), bye 43%
( 5%) 6W: 12.55 ( 8.30-19.30) 99% in, 60% home, 6% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Wickliffe (0-0) 7%
( 2%) 5W: 9.50 ( 5.65-16.05) 70% in, 16% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Wickliffe (0-0) 11%
Most likely first round opponents
Wickliffe (0-0) 1%
Smithville (0-0) 1%
Pymatuning Valley (0-0) 1%
Lisbon David Anderson (0-0) 1%
Most likely second round opponents
South Range (0-0) 10%
Hillsdale (0-0) 9%
Smithville (0-0) 8%
Wickliffe (0-0) 8%
Columbia (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 94.1, #409, D6 #44), 61% (bubble if 5-5), 38% home (maybe if 6-4), 16% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Last season 159.1