Region 17 home page
Region 17 projections
Region 17 playoff probabilities
Region 17 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 17 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#69 of 105 in Division 5
#16 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #76 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #84 in D5 (-530 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 27-22 A #426 Harvey (1-2) D3 R9, pick: L by 3 (44%), perf. rating 85
08/28 L 31-7 H #367 Cuyahoga Heights (2-1) D7 R25, pick: W by 21 (85%), perf. rating 62
09/04 W 56-0 A #693 Cardinal (0-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 44 (99%), perf. rating 77
09/11 A #348 Conneaut (3-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 23 (9%)
09/18 H #522 Crestwood (0-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 7 (67%)
09/25 A #449 Fairview (Fairv. Park) (0-3) D5 R18, pick: L by 8 (31%)
10/02 H #529 Rootstown (2-1) D6 R21, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/09 H #450 Chagrin Falls (2-1) D5 R17, pick: L by 4 (40%)
10/16 H #639 Trinity (0-3) D4 R13, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/23 A #47 Kirtland (2-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 48 (1%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
5.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
13% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.65 ( 2.15-17.90) 60% in, 10% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Martins Ferry (3-0) 16%
Lose: 5.05 ( 0.35-15.10) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Conneaut (3-0) 20%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 7W: 13.10 (11.65-16.25) 99% in, 27% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Martins Ferry (3-0) 17%
(15%) 6W: 9.55 ( 7.55-13.90) 53% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Conneaut (3-0) 18%
(23%) 5W: 7.40 ( 4.70-12.15) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Conneaut (3-0) 22%
(24%) 4W: 5.10 ( 2.55- 9.80) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(20%) 3W: 3.45 ( 1.30- 6.90) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(12%) 2W: 2.05 ( 0.80- 4.75) out, proj. out
( 2%) 1W: 0.35 ( 0.35- 1.45) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWWWWWL: 13.10 (11.65-14.35) 99% in, 27% home, proj. #9 (#5-out), Martins Ferry (3-0) 18%
(12%) LWWWWWL: 9.35 ( 7.55-12.05) 49% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Conneaut (3-0) 19%
(10%) LWLWWWL: 7.75 ( 5.90-10.70) 12% in, proj. out (#9-out), Conneaut (3-0) 24%
( 7%) LWWWLWL: 6.30 ( 4.70- 8.75) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out), Garfield (3-0) 33%
(10%) LWLWLWL: 4.75 ( 3.40- 7.40) out
( 7%) LLLWLWL: 3.80 ( 2.20- 6.25) out
(10%) LLLLLWL: 2.10 ( 0.85- 3.30) out
( 2%) LLLLLLL: 0.35 ( 0.35- 1.45) out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (1-2, 81.4, #488, D5 #69), 13% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 2 (0-2, 83.5, #473, D5 #66), 15% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 4-6
Week 1 (0-1, 100.1, #366, D5 #45), 67% (bubble if 6-4), 33% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 0 (0-0, 101.6, #356, D5 #46), 65% (bubble if 6-4), 39% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 7-3
Last season 102.2