Region 25 home page
Region 25 projections
Region 25 playoff probabilities
Region 25 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 25 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#44 of 103 in Division 7
#11 of 25 in Region 25
Strength of schedule #82 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #36 in D7 (-19 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 33-0 A #366 Edgewood (Ashtabula) (4-3) D4 R13, pick: L by 34 (6%), perf. rating 53
08/29 W 33-0 H #659 Fairport Harding (1-6) D7 R25, pick: L by 22 (13%), perf. rating 86
09/05 W 33-0 H #651 Jackson-Milton (1-7) D7 R25, pick: W by 32 (96%), perf. rating 90
09/11 W 14-0 A #628 Crestline (3-5) D7 R27, pick: W by 23 (91%), perf. rating 74
09/19 W 26-14 H #555 Pymatuning Valley (3-5) D6 R21, pick: L by 4 (40%), perf. rating 86
09/26 L 28-14 H #508 Grand Valley (6-2) D6 R21, pick: W by 1 (53%), perf. rating 56
10/02 W 28-22 H #558 Richmond Heights (3-5) D6 R21, pick: W by 4 (60%), perf. rating 76
10/09 W 28-6 A #626 Mathews (5-3) D7 R25, pick: W by 17 (87%), perf. rating 87
10/16 A #668 Leetonia (3-5) D7 R25, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/23 H #696 Cardinal (0-7) D7 R25, pick: W by 46 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
11.52 Harbin points (divisor 98)
#3 seed in R25 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, 64% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 11.52 (10.66-13.92) 100% home, 65% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 65%
Lose: 9.95 ( 9.18-11.33) 100% home, 11% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#7), Leetonia (3-5) 26%
Based on eventual number of wins
(97%) 8W: 11.52 (10.66-13.92) 100% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 66%
( 3%) 7W: 10.25 ( 9.18-12.75) 100% home, 25% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#7), bye 25%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(97%) WW: 11.52 (10.66-13.92) 100% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#6), bye 66%
( 1%) WL: 11.07 (10.66-12.75) 100% home, 50% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#6), bye 50%
( 2%) LW: 9.95 ( 9.18-11.33) 100% home, 12% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#7), Leetonia (3-5) 26%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (5-2, 70.5, #551, D7 #44), likely in and likely home, 53% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 6 (4-2, 70.8, #550, D7 #45), likely in, 92% home (likely needs 7-3), 44% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 8-2
Week 5 (4-1, 75.4, #526, D7 #39), likely in, 97% home (maybe if 6-4), 69% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 4 (3-1, 72.2, #540, D7 #40), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 82% home (maybe if 6-4), 45% bye (maybe if 7-3), proj. #5 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 75.5, #533, D7 #39), 97% (bubble if 5-5), 86% home (maybe if 6-4), 56% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 2 (1-1, 74.7, #531, D7 #41), 95% (bubble if 5-5), 83% home (maybe if 6-4), 49% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 1 (0-1, 53.2, #629, D7 #66), 51% (bubble if 5-5), 27% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 54.4, #625, D7 #67), 46% (bubble if 5-5), 20% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 55.2