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Rankings
#31 of 103 in Division 7
#11 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #95 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #36 in D7 (-13 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 44-12 A #590 Bucyrus (3-4) D6 R22, pick: W by 29 (91%), perf. rating 110
08/28 W 56-18 H #646 Hardin Northern (3-4) D7 R28, pick: W by 37 (97%), perf. rating 97
09/04 W 42-19 H #682 Ridgedale (0-7) D7 R28, pick: W by 42 (99%), perf. rating 60
09/11 W 50-20 A #599 Perry (Lima) (3-4) D6 R22, pick: W by 16 (83%), perf. rating 105
09/18 W 46-36 A #498 Elgin (5-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 98
09/25 W 50-22 A #659 Ridgemont (2-5) D7 R28, pick: W by 38 (99%), perf. rating 82
10/02 L 56-52 H #560 Waynesfield-Goshen (5-2) D7 R28, pick: W by 27 (96%), perf. rating 60
10/09 A #677 Cory-Rawson (1-6) D7 R26, pick: W by 37 (99%)
10/16 H #651 Crestline (2-5) D7 R27, pick: W by 34 (99%)
10/23 A #622 Upper Scioto Valley (4-3) D7 R28, pick: W by 25 (95%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
14.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, 55% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.45 (10.45-16.25) 100% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#8), bye 56%
Lose: 13.70 (11.20-14.50) 100% home, 20% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#8), bye 20%
Based on eventual number of wins
(94%) 9W: 14.45 (14.05-16.25) 100% home, 59% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#7), bye 59%
( 6%) 8W: 12.60 (11.90-14.50) 100% home, 7% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Jefferson (3-4) 23%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(94%) WWW: 14.45 (14.05-16.25) 100% home, 59% bye, proj. #4 (#3-#7), bye 59%
( 1%) WLW: 13.00 (12.95-14.10) 100% home, 11% bye, proj. #5 (#4-#7), Jefferson (3-4) 23%
( 4%) WWL: 12.25 (11.90-13.70) 100% home, 3% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Jefferson (3-4) 25%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 83.7, #479, D7 #31), appears locked in and home, 55% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 6 (6-0, 90.7, #424, D7 #28), appears locked in and home, 95% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 10-0
Week 5 (5-0, 92.6, #413, D7 #23), appears locked in and likely home, 95% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 10-0
Week 4 (4-0, 88.7, #436, D7 #27), appears locked in and likely home, 61% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 83.2, #478, D7 #29), likely in, 94% home (maybe if 7-3), 48% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 87.3, #448, D7 #27), likely in, 89% home (maybe if 7-3), 43% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 84.6, #462, D7 #24), 94% (bubble if 6-4), 75% home (maybe if 8-2), 22% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #6 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 81.7, #489, D7 #34), 89% (bubble if 5-5), 71% home (maybe if 7-3), 30% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Last season 92.5