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Rankings
#34 of 104 in Division 7
#13 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #94 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #44 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #651 Bucyrus (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 29 (91%)
08/28 H #664 Hardin Northern (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 34 (96%)
09/04 H #612 Ridgedale (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 24 (91%)
09/11 A #650 Perry (Lima) (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 29 (96%)
09/18 A #598 Elgin (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 18 (87%)
09/25 A #554 Ridgemont (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 9 (72%)
10/02 H #607 Waynesfield-Goshen (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/09 A #682 Cory-Rawson (0-0) D7 R26, pick: W by 38 (99%)
10/16 H #655 Crestline (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/23 A #570 Upper Scioto Valley (0-0) D7 R28, pick: W by 12 (79%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
14.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
88% (bubble if 5-5), 71% home (maybe if 7-3), 30% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 13.55 ( 0.40-22.40) 91% in, 74% home, 32% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 36%
Lose: 8.22 ( 0.00-18.55) 62% in, 35% home, 8% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
(26%) 10W: 17.10 (14.10-22.40) 100% home, 79% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 79%
(24%) 9W: 14.35 (11.40-19.15) 100% in, 99% home, 34% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 34%
(18%) 8W: 11.90 ( 8.40-17.60) 99% in, 80% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Montpelier (0-0) 9%
(12%) 7W: 9.75 ( 6.60-15.15) 96% in, 39% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Edon (0-0) 10%
( 8%) 6W: 7.80 ( 4.70-12.60) 71% in, 12% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Edon (0-0) 12%
( 5%) 5W: 6.10 ( 3.30-11.95) 36% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Edon (0-0) 14%
( 3%) 4W: 4.65 ( 2.20- 9.25) 10% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 2%) 3W: 3.20 ( 1.45- 7.30) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 1%) 2W: 1.88 ( 0.75- 3.95) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Montpelier (0-0) 6%
Edon (0-0) 6%
Arlington (0-0) 5%
Edgerton (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) 12%
Hopewell-Loudon (0-0) 12%
Mohawk (0-0) 11%
Leipsic (0-0) 11%
Gibsonburg (0-0) 9%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 49.9, #640, D7 #74), 34% (bubble if 4-6), 8% home (maybe if 6-4), proj. #12 at 4-6
Last season 92.5