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Rankings
#32 of 107 in Division 7
#13 of 29 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #98 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #33 in D7 (+32 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 36-28 H #649 Bucyrus (1-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 11 (69%), perf. rating 58
08/29 W 48-8 A #667 Hardin Northern (1-3) D7 R26, pick: L by 18 (18%), perf. rating 101
09/05 W 47-6 H #603 Elgin (2-2) D6 R23, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 119
09/12 W 64-7 H #694 Cory-Rawson (0-4) D7 R26, pick: W by 41 (99%), perf. rating 82
09/19 A #573 Waynesfield-Goshen (2-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 13 (79%)
09/26 H #595 Perry (Lima) (2-2) D6 R24, pick: W by 22 (92%)
10/03 A #665 Ridgedale (1-3) D7 R26, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/10 H #526 Ridgemont (3-1) D7 R26, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/17 A #666 Crestline (2-2) D7 R27, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/24 H #574 Upper Scioto Valley (2-2) D7 R26, pick: W by 17 (87%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
15.20 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
96% (bubble if 7-3), 89% home (maybe if 8-2), 68% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.60 ( 7.15-20.40) 99% in, 96% home, 80% bye, proj. #2 (#1-out), bye 80%
Lose: 12.65 ( 3.95-17.75) 84% in, 61% home, 26% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 30%
Based on eventual number of wins
(47%) 10W: 18.05 (16.15-20.40) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
(30%) 9W: 15.20 (13.30-18.15) 100% in, 99% home, 69% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 69%
(15%) 8W: 12.65 (10.80-15.20) 99% in, 76% home, 5% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), Edgerton (4-0) 11%
( 6%) 7W: 10.15 ( 8.15-13.60) 73% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Edon (3-1) 12%
( 2%) 6W: 7.95 ( 6.40-10.40) 9% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(47%) WWWWWW: 18.05 (16.15-20.40) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#5), bye 99%
( 7%) LWWWWW: 15.50 (13.75-17.75) 100% home, 73% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 73%
( 6%) WWWWWL: 15.50 (14.05-17.30) 100% home, 81% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 81%
( 2%) WLWWWW: 15.45 (13.65-17.85) 100% home, 82% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#6), bye 82%
(14%) WWWLWW: 14.85 (13.30-16.70) 100% in, 99% home, 57% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 57%
( 4%) WWWLWL: 12.60 (11.15-14.35) 99% in, 72% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#3-out), Edgerton (4-0) 10%
( 5%) LWWLWW: 12.35 (10.80-14.60) 100% in, 69% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#4-#12), Edgerton (4-0) 12%
( 1%) LLWLWW: 9.75 ( 8.50-12.35) 75% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Edon (3-1) 14%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 82.5, #473, D7 #32), 96% (bubble if 7-3), 89% home (maybe if 8-2), 68% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 83.6, #474, D7 #37), 91% (bubble if 7-3), 73% home (maybe if 8-2), 43% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 71.6, #557, D7 #52), 66% (bubble if 7-3), 34% home (maybe if 8-2), 11% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 7-3
Week 1 (1-0, 45.2, #656, D7 #77), 13% (bubble if 7-3), 4% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 45.1, #660, D7 #80), 15% (bubble if 7-3), 6% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 51.1