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Rankings
#68 of 104 in Division 7
#21 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #43 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #30 in D7 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #655 Crestline (0-0) D7 R27, pick: W by 12 (71%)
08/28 A #637 South Central (0-0) D7 R25, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/04 A #284 Mohawk (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 41 (1%)
09/11 A #523 Wynford (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 23 (9%)
09/18 H #651 Bucyrus (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 10 (73%)
09/25 H #616 Willard (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 2 (45%)
10/02 A #492 Lucas (0-0) D7 R27, pick: L by 26 (5%)
10/09 H #426 Calvert (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 30 (2%)
10/16 H #417 Upper Sandusky (0-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 31 (2%)
10/23 A #122 Hopewell-Loudon (0-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 49 (1%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
3.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
13% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.00 ( 0.35-18.70) 17% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Edon (0-0) 12%
Lose: 1.05 ( 0.00-15.85) 2% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#3-out), North Baltimore (0-0) 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 2%) 8W: 11.45 ( 8.20-16.25) 99% in, 66% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Montpelier (0-0) 11%
( 4%) 7W: 9.45 ( 5.70-13.20) 92% in, 24% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Edon (0-0) 13%
( 7%) 6W: 7.55 ( 4.60-12.55) 56% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Edon (0-0) 12%
(11%) 5W: 5.90 ( 2.90-10.15) 20% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Edon (0-0) 12%
(16%) 4W: 4.45 ( 1.80- 9.00) 4% in, proj. out (#9-out), Edon (0-0) 17%
(19%) 3W: 3.10 ( 1.10- 8.40) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(18%) 2W: 1.95 ( 0.70- 6.95) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(14%) 1W: 0.90 ( 0.35- 4.05) out, proj. out
( 8%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Edon (0-0) 12%
North Baltimore (0-0) 10%
Mohawk (0-0) 9%
Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) 8%
Arlington (0-0) 8%
Most likely second round opponents
Hopewell-Loudon (0-0) 20%
Gibsonburg (0-0) 20%
Leipsic (0-0) 14%
Pandora-Gilboa (0-0) 11%
Mohawk (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 92.0, #426, D7 #23), 42% (bubble if 4-6), 21% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 55.0