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Rankings
#76 of 103 in Division 7
#23 of 26 in Region 26
Strength of schedule #35 in D7 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #84 in D7 (-531 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 35-7 H #651 Crestline (2-5) D7 R27, pick: W by 12 (71%), perf. rating 81
08/28 L 20-14 A #633 South Central (3-4) D7 R25, pick: W by 9 (67%), perf. rating 43
09/04 L 48-0 A #242 Mohawk (6-1) D7 R26, pick: L by 34 (3%), perf. rating 56
09/11 L 41-6 A #538 Wynford (2-5) D6 R22, pick: L by 10 (28%), perf. rating 23
09/18 L 41-14 H #590 Bucyrus (3-4) D6 R22, pick: L by 7 (33%), perf. rating 18
09/25 L 32-0 H #563 Willard (3-4) D5 R18, pick: L by 22 (8%), perf. rating 18
10/02 L 49-0 A #453 Lucas (4-3) D7 R27, pick: L by 36 (1%), perf. rating 26
10/09 H #552 Calvert (0-7) D7 R26, pick: L by 26 (4%)
10/16 H #406 Upper Sandusky (3-4) D4 R14, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/23 A #137 Hopewell-Loudon (7-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 49 (1%)
Regular season projections
1-9 record
1.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R26 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.20 ( 1.45- 8.40) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Lose: 1.45 ( 1.10- 7.65) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 2W: 2.20 ( 1.45- 5.50) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(94%) 1W: 1.45 ( 1.10- 2.15) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 4%) WLL: 2.20 ( 1.45- 2.55) out
(94%) LLL: 1.45 ( 1.10- 2.15) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (1-6, 39.1, #656, D7 #76), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 6 (1-5, 40.2, #652, D7 #75), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 5 (1-4, 42.9, #647, D7 #74), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 4 (1-3, 47.7, #637, D7 #69), 5% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (1-2, 58.2, #601, D7 #59), 20% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 62.1, #597, D7 #56), 24% (bubble if 4-6), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (1-0, 62.4, #597, D7 #57), 17% (bubble if 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 53.4, #627, D7 #68), 13% (bubble if 6-4), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 55.0