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Region 23 playoff probabilities
Region 23 seeding probabilities
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Team history page
Rankings
#57 of 108 in Division 6
#15 of 26 in Region 23
Strength of schedule #57 in D6 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #63 in D6 (-192 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 32-20 H #352 Newcomerstown (6-2) D6 R23, pick: L by 9 (34%), perf. rating 82
08/28 W 35-6 H #674 Buckeye Trail (0-8) D6 R23, pick: W by 23 (88%), perf. rating 74
09/04 W 42-20 A #618 Alexander (4-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 20 (87%), perf. rating 89
09/11 L 58-20 A #75 New Lexington (8-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 39 (1%), perf. rating 89
09/18 L 20-19 H #346 Maysville (4-4) D3 R11, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 99
09/25 W 49-0 A #647 River View (0-8) D5 R19, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 107
10/02 L 56-14 H #208 West Muskingum (6-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 29 (3%), perf. rating 58
10/09 W 45-37 A #548 Coshocton (2-6) D5 R19, pick: W by 15 (84%), perf. rating 85
10/16 H #499 Meadowbrook (2-6) D5 R19, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/23 A #507 Morgan (2-6) D5 R19, pick: W by 6 (65%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
6.50 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R23 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.60 ( 6.15- 9.00) out, proj. out
Lose: 6.20 ( 4.75- 7.50) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(48%) 6W: 7.95 ( 7.60- 9.00) out, proj. out
(38%) 5W: 6.50 ( 6.15- 7.50) out, proj. out
(14%) 4W: 5.10 ( 4.75- 6.05) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(48%) WW: 7.95 ( 7.60- 9.00) out
(16%) LW: 6.55 ( 6.20- 7.50) out
(21%) WL: 6.50 ( 6.15- 7.50) out
(14%) LL: 5.10 ( 4.75- 6.05) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 87.2, #450, D6 #55), 1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 5-5
Week 6 (3-3, 88.0, #442, D6 #52), 2% (likely needs 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 5 (2-3, 84.2, #470, D6 #58), 2% (likely needs 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 4 (2-2, 83.4, #476, D6 #62), 6% (likely needs 8-2), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 3 (2-1, 87.3, #448, D6 #60), 20% (bubble if 7-3), 4% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 2 (1-1, 84.5, #467, D6 #60), 21% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 82.1, #481, D6 #62), 19% (bubble if 6-4), 5% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 84.8, #472, D6 #56), 30% (bubble if 6-4), 13% home (maybe if 8-2), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 89.0