Region 15 home page
Region 15 projections
Region 15 playoff probabilities
Region 15 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 15 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#80 of 105 in Division 4
#24 of 28 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #56 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #71 in D4 (-300 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 20-19 H #301 John Glenn (3-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 18 (20%), perf. rating 109
08/29 W 41-7 A #673 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-4) D4 R15, pick: W by 29 (93%), perf. rating 89
09/05 L 38-21 H #291 Philo (3-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 6 (37%), perf. rating 83
09/12 L 56-14 A #298 Sheridan (2-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 4 (41%), perf. rating 49
09/19 A #534 Coshocton (1-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 6 (65%)
09/26 H #84 Tri-Valley (3-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 41 (1%)
10/03 A #148 New Lexington (4-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/10 H #404 West Muskingum (1-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 11 (23%)
10/17 A #414 Meadowbrook (1-3) D5 R19, pick: L by 13 (20%)
10/24 H #410 Crooksville (4-0) D6 R23, pick: L by 9 (28%)
Regular season projections
3-7 record
5.70 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
5% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 7.55 ( 3.80-18.35) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#5-out), Jonathan Alder (4-0) 14%
Lose: 4.85 ( 2.45-16.80) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 6%) 6W: 12.45 (10.85-18.35) 60% in, 2% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Indian Creek (4-0) 14%
(15%) 5W: 10.00 ( 7.50-14.20) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Indian Creek (4-0) 17%
(25%) 4W: 7.75 ( 5.20-13.60) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(33%) 3W: 5.70 ( 3.80-10.05) out, proj. out
(21%) 2W: 4.30 ( 2.45- 6.30) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 6%) WLLWWW: 12.40 (10.85-14.80) 58% in, 1% home, proj. #12 (#7-out), Jonathan Alder (4-0) 14%
( 5%) WLLWLW: 10.50 ( 8.60-13.35) 12% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), West Holmes (3-1) 20%
( 5%) WLLLWW: 9.70 ( 8.20-12.50) 5% in, proj. out (#10-out), Indian Creek (4-0) 22%
( 9%) WLLLLW: 8.20 ( 6.35-11.70) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Jonathan Alder (4-0) 100%
( 8%) WLLWLL: 7.55 ( 5.20- 9.80) out
( 5%) WLLLWL: 7.05 ( 5.65- 8.95) out
(23%) WLLLLL: 5.65 ( 3.80- 7.55) out
(21%) LLLLLL: 4.30 ( 2.45- 6.30) out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (2-2, 82.4, #474, D4 #80), 5% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (2-1, 93.3, #409, D4 #66), 23% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 2 (2-0, 95.9, #394, D4 #63), 41% (bubble if 6-4), 18% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (1-0, 94.4, #409, D4 #67), 27% (bubble if 6-4), 11% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Week 0 (0-0, 87.7, #469, D4 #80), 14% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), 2% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 82.3