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Rankings
#74 of 102 in Division 3
#16 of 25 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #74 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #71 in D3 (-272 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 30-13 A #286 Zanesville (4-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 24 (86%), perf. rating 88
08/28 W 53-0 H #623 Lakewood (Hebron) (0-6) D4 R15, pick: W by 31 (94%), perf. rating 113
09/04 L 44-7 A #187 West Muskingum (5-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 20 (13%), perf. rating 72
09/11 L 28-7 H #221 Sheridan (5-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 32 (3%), perf. rating 86
09/18 W 20-19 A #442 Crooksville (3-3) D6 R23, pick: L by 1 (48%), perf. rating 91
09/25 W 44-0 H #578 Coshocton (1-5) D5 R19, pick: W by 21 (91%), perf. rating 125
10/02 A #171 Tri-Valley (3-3) D3 R11, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/09 H #267 John Glenn (3-3) D4 R15, pick: L by 17 (13%)
10/16 A #657 River View (0-6) D5 R19, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/23 H #216 Philo (4-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 23 (7%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
5.40 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.75 ( 6.85-15.25) 12% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Lose: 5.40 ( 3.60-12.35) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 6W: 10.80 ( 9.30-12.75) 12% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(19%) 5W: 7.80 ( 6.35- 9.85) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(77%) 4W: 5.40 ( 4.45- 7.95) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) LWWW: 10.80 ( 9.75-12.35) 11% in, proj. out (#11-out), Dover (4-2) 45%
( 6%) LLWW: 8.40 ( 7.35- 9.85) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out), Dover (4-2) 100%
( 2%) WLWL: 8.25 ( 6.85- 9.35) out
(12%) LWWL: 7.30 ( 6.35- 9.40) out
(77%) LLWL: 5.40 ( 4.45- 6.85) out
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (3-3, 94.0, #401, D3 #74), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (2-3, 88.2, #440, D3 #78), 1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 4 (1-3, 85.0, #467, D3 #79), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 4-6
Week 3 (1-2, 83.2, #477, D3 #78), 1% (must have at least 5-5 for any chance), proj. out at 3-7
Week 2 (1-1, 81.2, #487, D3 #84), 3% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 1 (0-1, 76.4, #516, D3 #88), 3% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 93.5, #411, D3 #75), 18% (bubble if 7-3), 5% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 97.9