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Rankings
#9 of 101 in Division 4
#2 of 26 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #49 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #69 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #271 Fairfield Union (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 24 (86%)
08/28 H #313 Philo (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 30 (93%)
09/04 A #384 John Glenn (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 32 (96%)
09/11 H #472 Crooksville (0-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 40 (99%)
09/18 A #560 Coshocton (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 45 (99%)
09/25 H #104 Tri-Valley (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 3 (57%)
10/02 H #410 Meadowbrook (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/09 A #298 West Muskingum (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 26 (96%)
10/16 H #334 Morgan (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/23 A #186 Sheridan (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 13 (80%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
24.85 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
95% (bubble if 5-5), 88% home (maybe if 6-4), 70% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 24.55 ( 2.40-34.15) 98% in, 92% home, 76% bye, proj. #2 (#1-out), bye 77%
Lose: 17.10 ( 0.00-29.50) 80% in, 60% home, 32% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 40%
Based on eventual number of wins
(28%) 10W: 29.05 (22.65-34.15) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(27%) 9W: 24.85 (19.15-31.85) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 96%
(19%) 8W: 21.15 (14.90-27.95) 100% in, 99% home, 67% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 67%
(12%) 7W: 17.50 (12.10-24.10) 99% in, 85% home, 17% bye, proj. #6 (#2-out), bye 17%
( 7%) 6W: 14.22 ( 9.15-19.35) 93% in, 38% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Indian Creek (0-0) 7%
( 3%) 5W: 11.30 ( 6.45-17.30) 59% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), St Clairsville (0-0) 10%
( 2%) 4W: 8.65 ( 4.55-13.35) 13% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out)
( 1%) 3W: 5.95 ( 3.05-11.55) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
Most likely first round opponents
Indian Creek (0-0) 2%
St Clairsville (0-0) 2%
Union Local (0-0) 2%
Heath (0-0) 2%
Most likely second round opponents
St Clairsville (0-0) 7%
Johnstown (0-0) 7%
West Holmes (0-0) 7%
Indian Valley (0-0) 7%
Buckeye Valley (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 69.1, #562, D4 #89), 6% (bubble if 7-3), 2% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 141.8