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Rankings
#16 of 105 in Division 4
#3 of 28 in Region 15
Strength of schedule #67 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #19 in D4 (+190 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 26-6 H #324 Fairfield Union (1-3) D4 R15, pick: W by 25 (87%), perf. rating 134
08/29 W 37-20 A #291 Philo (3-1) D4 R15, pick: W by 17 (80%), perf. rating 137
09/05 W 33-14 A #349 Morgan (2-2) D5 R19, pick: W by 23 (90%), perf. rating 133
09/12 W 33-7 H #404 West Muskingum (1-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 35 (98%), perf. rating 132
09/19 A #84 Tri-Valley (3-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 14 (19%)
09/26 H #534 Coshocton (1-3) D5 R18, pick: W by 41 (99%)
10/03 H #474 Maysville (2-2) D4 R15, pick: W by 38 (99%)
10/10 A #414 Meadowbrook (1-3) D5 R19, pick: W by 31 (98%)
10/17 A #410 Crooksville (4-0) D6 R23, pick: W by 30 (98%)
10/24 H #298 Sheridan (2-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 23 (93%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
24.05 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#2 seed in R15 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 93% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 28.30 (20.10-31.15) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
Lose: 23.70 (13.30-26.95) 100% in, 99% home, 91% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#11), bye 91%
Based on eventual number of wins
(17%) 10W: 28.50 (25.80-31.15) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(68%) 9W: 24.05 (21.20-28.45) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 99%
(13%) 8W: 21.00 (17.70-24.30) 100% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 66%
( 2%) 7W: 18.20 (15.20-21.05) 100% in, 96% home, 14% bye, proj. #6 (#3-#10), bye 14%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(17%) WWWWWW: 28.50 (25.80-31.15) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#2), bye 100%
(66%) LWWWWW: 24.05 (21.20-26.95) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#7), bye 98%
( 2%) LWWLWW: 21.60 (18.90-24.30) 100% home, 78% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#7), bye 78%
( 7%) LWWWWL: 20.92 (18.45-23.30) 100% home, 65% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 65%
( 2%) LWWWLW: 20.15 (17.70-22.85) 100% home, 45% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#8), bye 45%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 132.2, #148, D4 #16), appears locked in and likely home, 93% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 135.2, #126, D4 #15), likely in and likely home, 93% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #1 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 128.6, #165, D4 #21), likely in, 95% home (maybe if 6-4), 78% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 127.2, #167, D4 #20), 91% (bubble if 5-5), 78% home (maybe if 6-4), 55% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 126.4, #171, D4 #17), 83% (bubble if 6-4), 66% home (maybe if 7-3), 40% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 8-2
Last season 132.0