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Rankings
#81 of 105 in Division 5
#22 of 27 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #51 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #9 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #435 Cuyahoga Heights (0-0) D7 R25, pick: L by 21 (17%)
08/28 H #547 Jefferson Area (0-0) D4 R13, pick: W by 3 (56%)
09/04 A #398 Edgewood (Ashtabula) (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 24 (9%)
09/11 H #356 Berkshire (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 25 (7%)
09/18 A #35 Kirtland (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 49 (1%)
09/25 A #499 Crestwood (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 9 (28%)
10/02 H #323 Fairview (Fairv. Park) (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/09 A #477 Rootstown (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 14 (18%)
10/16 H #481 Chagrin Falls (0-0) D5 R17, pick: L by 9 (28%)
10/23 H #404 Wickliffe (0-0) D6 R21, pick: L by 21 (8%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
15% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 8.95 ( 0.35-26.85) 42% in, 21% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 12%
Lose: 2.60 ( 0.00-25.55) 9% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Garfield (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 9W: 20.95 (16.80-25.85) 100% in, 99% home, 60% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#9), bye 60%
( 2%) 8W: 17.80 (13.05-22.25) 100% in, 91% home, 17% bye, proj. #6 (#1-#11), bye 17%
( 4%) 7W: 14.98 (10.45-21.10) 97% in, 54% home, 3% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Girard (0-0) 8%
( 6%) 6W: 12.10 ( 7.20-17.50) 79% in, 15% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#4-out), Garfield (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 5W: 9.40 ( 5.55-15.85) 35% in, 2% home, proj. out (#6-out), Garfield (0-0) 12%
(11%) 4W: 7.05 ( 3.10-12.75) 7% in, proj. out (#9-out), Garfield (0-0) 12%
(15%) 3W: 4.75 ( 1.75-10.40) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(18%) 2W: 2.75 ( 0.85- 8.20) out, proj. out
(20%) 1W: 1.00 ( 0.35- 4.50) out, proj. out
(16%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Garfield (0-0) 8%
Girard (0-0) 8%
Liberty (0-0) 7%
Martins Ferry (0-0) 7%
Most likely second round opponents
Perry (0-0) 19%
Barnesville (0-0) 14%
Crestview (Columbiana) (0-0) 10%
Cardinal Mooney (0-0) 10%
Girard (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 83.8, #481, D5 #68), 23% (bubble if 6-4), 8% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 76.9