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Rankings
#36 of 106 in Division 5
#10 of 28 in Region 17
Strength of schedule #59 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #20 in D5 (+144 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 20-13 A #337 Cuyahoga Heights (6-1) D7 R25, pick: L by 21 (17%), perf. rating 117
08/28 W 50-6 H #531 Jefferson Area (0-7) D4 R13, pick: W by 14 (76%), perf. rating 136
09/04 W 20-17 A #364 Edgewood (Ashtabula) (4-3) D4 R13, pick: L by 7 (35%), perf. rating 106
09/11 W 21-12 H #400 Berkshire (4-3) D5 R17, pick: W by 23 (91%), perf. rating 106
09/18 L 48-0 A #64 Kirtland (6-1) D6 R21, pick: L by 35 (1%), perf. rating 85
09/25 W 40-28 A #425 Crestwood (1-6) D5 R17, pick: W by 12 (78%), perf. rating 111
10/02 W 36-21 H #467 Fairview (Fairv. Park) (0-7) D5 R18, pick: W by 23 (93%), perf. rating 105
10/09 A #543 Rootstown (3-4) D6 R21, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/16 H #434 Chagrin Falls (5-2) D5 R17, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/23 H #433 Wickliffe (6-1) D6 R21, pick: W by 18 (88%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
22.35 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R17 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in, 98% home (maybe if 7-3), 12% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 22.35 (13.95-23.95) 100% in, 99% home, 12% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#11), Bellaire (4-3) 22%
Lose: 19.85 (11.90-21.15) 100% in, 89% home, 2% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#11), Canton Central Catholic (4-3) 19%
Based on eventual number of wins
(76%) 9W: 22.35 (21.00-23.95) 100% home, 16% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#7), Berkshire (4-3) 25%
(20%) 8W: 18.70 (17.55-21.15) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#9), Canton Central Catholic (4-3) 28%
( 4%) 7W: 15.48 (13.95-17.95) 100% in, 69% home, proj. #8 (#6-#11), Manchester (Akron) (4-3) 31%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(76%) WWW: 22.35 (21.00-23.95) 100% home, 16% bye, proj. #5 (#2-#7), Berkshire (4-3) 25%
( 2%) LWW: 20.25 (19.00-21.15) 100% home, 3% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#7), Berkshire (4-3) 28%
( 9%) WLW: 19.15 (17.70-20.70) 100% in, 99% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#9), Canton Central Catholic (4-3) 28%
( 9%) WWL: 18.55 (17.55-19.55) 100% in, 98% home, proj. #7 (#5-#9), Canton Central Catholic (4-3) 32%
( 2%) WLL: 15.35 (13.95-16.90) 100% in, 58% home, proj. #8 (#7-#11), Manchester (Akron) (4-3) 32%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 105.2, #327, D5 #36), appears locked in, 98% home (maybe if 7-3), 12% bye, proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 6 (5-1, 103.7, #336, D5 #35), likely in, 96% home (maybe if 6-4), 54% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #3 at 9-1
Week 5 (4-1, 102.9, #348, D5 #42), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 6-4), 50% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 8-2
Week 4 (4-0, 102.2, #344, D5 #40), likely in, 89% home (maybe if 6-4), 44% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 103.1, #348, D5 #41), 98% (bubble if 4-6), 88% home (maybe if 6-4), 36% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Week 2 (2-0, 101.5, #352, D5 #44), 87% (bubble if 5-5), 69% home (maybe if 7-3), 21% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 1 (1-0, 82.9, #479, D5 #70), 39% (bubble if 5-5), 19% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 72.3, #543, D5 #81), 15% (bubble if 5-5), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 76.9