Region 10 home page
Region 10 projections
Region 10 playoff probabilities
Region 10 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 10 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#43 of 104 in Division 3
#10 of 26 in Region 10
Strength of schedule #47 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #40 in D3 (+5 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 54-0 A #20 Shelby (2-0) D4 R14, pick: L by 42 (3%), perf. rating 109
08/28 W 41-12 H #440 River Valley (Caled.) (0-2) D4 R14, pick: W by 1 (52%), perf. rating 129
09/04 H #497 Norwalk (0-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 31 (96%)
09/11 A #375 Wooster (0-2) D2 R7, pick: W by 15 (81%)
09/18 H #172 West Holmes (1-1) D4 R15, pick: L by 9 (28%)
09/25 A #110 Ashland (2-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 23 (7%)
10/02 H #266 New Philadelphia (0-2) D3 R11, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/09 A #169 Dover (1-1) D3 R11, pick: L by 14 (18%)
10/16 A #231 Lexington (0-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 6 (35%)
10/23 H #430 Mansfield Senior (0-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 25 (95%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
3.08 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#12 seed in R10 playoffs
Playoff chances now
54% (bubble if 5-5), 30% home (maybe if 6-4), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 3.24 ( 1.05- 6.75) 55% in, 31% home, 9% bye, proj. #12 (#1-out), bye 16%
Lose: 1.82 ( 0.50- 5.03) 12% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out)
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 9W: 6.56 ( 6.40- 6.75) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
( 8%) 8W: 5.54 ( 5.30- 6.01) 100% home, 60% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 60%
(15%) 7W: 4.64 ( 4.39- 5.18) 99% in, 89% home, 8% bye, proj. #7 (#3-out), Buchtel (0-2) 13%
(20%) 6W: 3.85 ( 3.58- 4.46) 95% in, 28% home, proj. #10 (#5-out), Tiffin Columbian (2-0) 10%
(22%) 5W: 3.08 ( 2.86- 3.69) 39% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Maumee (1-1) 11%
(19%) 4W: 2.38 ( 2.20- 3.13) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(11%) 3W: 1.72 ( 1.60- 2.17) out, proj. out
( 3%) 2W: 1.11 ( 1.05- 1.30) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) WWWWWWWW: 6.56 ( 6.40- 6.75) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 99%
( 5%) WWWLWWWW: 5.47 ( 5.30- 5.77) 100% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#8), bye 56%
( 5%) WWWLWLWW: 4.57 ( 4.39- 4.95) 100% in, 89% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#11), Buchtel (0-2) 13%
( 6%) WWLLWLWW: 3.77 ( 3.63- 4.13) 96% in, 26% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Buchtel (0-2) 12%
( 9%) WWLLWLLW: 3.04 ( 2.92- 3.38) 36% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Maumee (1-1) 12%
(11%) WWLLLLLW: 2.36 ( 2.25- 2.74) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out), Wapakoneta (0-2) 25%
( 5%) WLLLLLLW: 1.71 ( 1.60- 2.00) out
( 2%) WLLLLLLL: 1.11 ( 1.05- 1.30) out
Weekly summary info
Week 2 (1-1, 114.9, #254, D3 #43), 37% (bubble if 6-4), 18% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Week 1 (0-1, 101.6, #355, D3 #66), 23% (bubble if 5-5), 9% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 102.0, #350, D3 #65), 26% (bubble if 5-5), 11% home (maybe if 7-3), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 4-6
Last season 99.4