Region 7 home page
Region 7 projections
Region 7 playoff probabilities
Region 7 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 7 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#61 of 100 in Division 2
#16 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #56 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #75 in D2 (-502 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 14-7 H #250 Orrville (5-1) D4 R13, pick: L by 26 (12%), perf. rating 103
08/28 L 32-29 A #308 Alliance (3-3) D3 R9, pick: L by 22 (13%), perf. rating 105
09/04 L 31-7 A #114 Triway (5-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 32 (4%), perf. rating 103
09/11 W 34-13 H #331 Madison (Mansfield) (3-3) D3 R10, pick: L by 19 (13%), perf. rating 134
09/18 L 44-30 A #316 Lexington (1-5) D3 R10, pick: L by 4 (40%), perf. rating 88
09/25 W 17-10 H #209 New Philadelphia (2-4) D3 R11, pick: L by 24 (6%), perf. rating 130
10/02 A #89 Dover (4-2) D3 R11, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/09 A #449 Mansfield Senior (1-5) D3 R10, pick: W by 20 (91%)
10/16 H #318 Ashland (3-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/23 H #163 West Holmes (4-2) D4 R15, pick: L by 18 (12%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
9.95 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
10% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.45 ( 9.50-19.25) 69% in, 7% home, proj. #12 (#5-out), Canal Winchester (3-3) 20%
Lose: 9.40 ( 4.45-15.80) 8% in, proj. out (#9-out), New Albany (5-1) 31%
Based on eventual number of wins
(12%) 5W: 14.10 (12.35-17.00) 69% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), New Albany (5-1) 30%
(49%) 4W: 9.95 ( 8.85-14.65) 2% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(33%) 3W: 7.20 ( 6.10-10.85) out, proj. out
( 6%) 2W: 5.55 ( 4.45- 7.70) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 2%) WWWL: 14.45 (13.35-16.00) 81% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), New Albany (5-1) 24%
(10%) LWWW: 14.10 (12.35-15.80) 67% in, proj. #12 (#9-out), New Albany (5-1) 31%
( 3%) LWLW: 10.85 ( 9.10-12.50) 2% in, proj. out (#12-out), New Albany (5-1) 57%
(44%) LWWL: 9.95 ( 8.85-12.10) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out), DeSales (Columbus) (4-2) 29%
( 4%) LLWL: 8.80 ( 6.65-10.45) out
(28%) LWLL: 7.15 ( 6.10- 9.40) out
( 6%) LLLL: 5.55 ( 4.45- 7.70) out
Weekly summary info
Week 6 (2-4, 108.8, #304, D2 #61), 10% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 4-6
Week 5 (1-4, 103.7, #339, D2 #64), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 4 (1-3, 106.7, #317, D2 #62), 4% (likely needs 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 3-7
Week 3 (0-3, 97.0, #387, D2 #71), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 98.0, #376, D2 #71), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 91.6, #422, D2 #77), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 85.9, #464, D2 #86), 3% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 79.6