Region 11 home page
Region 11 projections
Region 11 playoff probabilities
Region 11 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 11 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#37 of 104 in Division 3
#11 of 25 in Region 11
Strength of schedule #18 in D3 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #72 in D3 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #161 Louisville (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 9 (34%)
08/28 H #89 West Branch (0-0) D4 R13, pick: L by 19 (17%)
09/04 H #31 Indian Valley (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 30 (5%)
09/11 A #79 Ashland (0-0) D2 R7, pick: L by 24 (8%)
09/18 H #440 Mansfield Senior (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 28 (96%)
09/25 A #464 Wooster (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 28 (96%)
10/02 A #350 Madison (Mansfield) (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 17 (86%)
10/09 H #103 Lexington (0-0) D3 R10, pick: L by 16 (15%)
10/16 A #206 West Holmes (0-0) D4 R15, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/23 H #194 Dover (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 1 (53%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
7.65 Harbin points (divisor 99)
out of R11 playoffs
Playoff chances now
37% (bubble if 5-5), 21% home (maybe if 7-3), 9% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 14.46 ( 0.60-36.26) 62% in, 41% home, 20% bye, proj. #10 (#1-out), bye 32%
Lose: 7.11 ( 0.00-31.87) 24% in, 10% home, 3% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 11%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 30.35 (24.09-36.26) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
( 4%) 9W: 26.31 (19.34-32.88) 100% in, 99% home, 94% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 94%
( 6%) 8W: 22.13 (15.56-27.43) 100% in, 97% home, 51% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#12), bye 51%
( 9%) 7W: 18.04 (12.54-24.86) 99% in, 72% home, 11% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 11%
(13%) 6W: 14.46 ( 9.56-20.93) 83% in, 24% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Athens (0-0) 9%
(17%) 5W: 10.88 ( 6.64-18.41) 35% in, 2% home, proj. out (#5-out), Athens (0-0) 10%
(17%) 4W: 7.65 ( 3.87-14.83) 4% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Jackson (0-0) 10%
(15%) 3W: 4.68 ( 2.21-11.95) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
(11%) 2W: 2.72 ( 1.15- 9.48) out, proj. out
( 5%) 1W: 1.06 ( 0.50- 5.55) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Athens (0-0) 7%
East (Columbus) (0-0) 6%
Jonathan Alder (0-0) 5%
Steubenville (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Licking Valley (0-0) 13%
Tri-Valley (0-0) 12%
Jackson (0-0) 12%
Steubenville (0-0) 8%
Granville (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 93.6, #411, D3 #75), 18% (bubble if 8-2), 5% home (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 6-4
Last season 117.1