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Rankings
#21 of 105 in Division 5
#3 of 27 in Region 19
Strength of schedule #17 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #56 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #368 Northland (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 21 (83%)
08/28 H #185 Jonathan Alder (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 3 (44%)
09/04 A #277 Heath (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 6 (63%)
09/10 H #158 Granville (0-0) D3 R11, pick: L by 8 (32%)
09/18 A #470 Worthington Christian (0-0) D5 R19, pick: W by 28 (96%)
09/25 H #509 Bexley (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 34 (98%)
10/02 A #338 Franklin Heights (0-0) D2 R8, pick: W by 14 (82%)
10/09 H #205 Buckeye Valley (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/16 A #262 Bishop Ready (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 4 (60%)
10/23 A #418 Whitehall-Yearling (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 23 (93%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
20.15 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#3 seed in R19 playoffs
Playoff chances now
82% (bubble if 4-6), 69% home (maybe if 5-5), 49% bye (maybe if 7-3)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.60 ( 1.20-40.35) 89% in, 76% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 63%
Lose: 9.40 ( 0.00-33.10) 47% in, 30% home, 15% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 32%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 9%) 10W: 31.85 (22.45-40.35) 100% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#4), bye 100%
(14%) 9W: 27.70 (18.50-35.30) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#6), bye 99%
(15%) 8W: 23.85 (15.45-32.10) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 92%
(15%) 7W: 20.15 (12.65-27.95) 100% in, 98% home, 62% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 62%
(13%) 6W: 16.58 (10.30-24.15) 99% in, 82% home, 19% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 19%
(11%) 5W: 13.20 ( 6.50-22.10) 89% in, 40% home, 3% bye, proj. #9 (#2-out), Ridgewood (0-0) 9%
( 9%) 4W: 10.25 ( 5.50-16.85) 52% in, 7% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#3-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 8%
( 6%) 3W: 7.35 ( 2.70-13.20) 12% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Portsmouth (0-0) 11%
( 4%) 2W: 4.65 ( 1.05-10.65) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 2%) 1W: 2.15 ( 0.45- 5.65) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Ridgewood (0-0) 4%
Grove City Christian (0-0) 3%
Portsmouth (0-0) 3%
Fairland (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Ironton (0-0) 10%
Ridgewood (0-0) 10%
Wheelersburg (0-0) 9%
Portsmouth (0-0) 9%
Fort Frye (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 61.4, #602, D5 #93), 16% (bubble if 6-4), 6% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 120.4