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Rankings
#25 of 100 in Division 2
#8 of 25 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #69 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #51 in D2 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #250 Bay (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 25 (87%)
08/28 A #295 Marion Harding (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 29 (93%)
09/04 H #232 Clyde (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 27 (93%)
09/11 H #200 New Philadelphia (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 24 (92%)
09/18 A #194 Dover (0-0) D3 R11, pick: W by 19 (88%)
09/25 H #350 Madison (Mansfield) (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 34 (98%)
10/02 H #440 Mansfield Senior (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 39 (99%)
10/09 A #206 West Holmes (0-0) D4 R15, pick: W by 22 (93%)
10/16 A #464 Wooster (0-0) D2 R7, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/23 H #103 Lexington (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 7 (68%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
23.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#3 seed in R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
87% (bubble if 6-4), 68% home (maybe if 8-2), 29% bye (maybe if 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 23.50 ( 1.05-36.85) 92% in, 73% home, 33% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 36%
Lose: 14.90 ( 0.00-30.65) 57% in, 28% home, 4% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), Walnut Ridge (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
(29%) 10W: 28.05 (20.40-36.85) 100% in, 99% home, 71% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#10), bye 71%
(27%) 9W: 23.90 (16.60-33.45) 99% in, 92% home, 28% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 28%
(18%) 8W: 20.25 (12.25-28.85) 98% in, 63% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Massillon Washington (0-0) 8%
(11%) 7W: 16.80 ( 9.85-24.65) 84% in, 24% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Walnut Ridge (0-0) 10%
( 7%) 6W: 13.70 ( 7.30-21.20) 54% in, 6% home, 1% bye, proj. #12 (#4-out), Walnut Ridge (0-0) 9%
( 4%) 5W: 10.75 ( 5.65-17.45) 18% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Walnut Ridge (0-0) 17%
( 2%) 4W: 8.15 ( 3.95-14.70) 3% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 1%) 3W: 5.60 ( 2.20-12.95) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 1%) 2W: 3.40 ( 1.15- 8.75) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Massillon Washington (0-0) 5%
DeSales (Columbus) (0-0) 5%
Walnut Ridge (0-0) 5%
Hamilton Township (0-0) 5%
Most likely second round opponents
Big Walnut (0-0) 13%
Bishop Watterson (0-0) 12%
Massillon Washington (0-0) 9%
Canal Winchester (0-0) 8%
Lake (Uniontown) (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 68.4, #567, D2 #92), 15% (bubble if 6-4), 4% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 145.5