Region 7 home page
Region 7 projections
Region 7 playoff probabilities
Region 7 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 7 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#22 of 104 in Division 2
#5 of 27 in Region 7
Strength of schedule #80 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #27 in D2 (+82 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 43-10 H #205 Bay (3-1) D4 R14, pick: W by 23 (85%), perf. rating 168
08/29 W 42-7 H #355 Marion Harding (1-3) D2 R7, pick: W by 33 (95%), perf. rating 152
09/05 W 35-21 A #362 Clyde (0-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 33 (97%), perf. rating 124
09/12 W 34-7 A #207 New Philadelphia (1-3) D3 R11, pick: W by 15 (81%), perf. rating 163
09/19 H #246 Dover (1-3) D3 R11, pick: W by 27 (95%)
09/26 H #338 Madison (Mansfield) (2-2) D3 R10, pick: W by 34 (98%)
10/03 A #401 Mansfield Senior (0-4) D3 R10, pick: W by 36 (99%)
10/10 H #119 West Holmes (3-1) D4 R15, pick: W by 10 (74%)
10/17 H #446 Wooster (0-4) D2 R7, pick: W by 42 (99%)
10/24 A #133 Lexington (3-1) D3 R10, pick: W by 9 (72%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
22.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#4 seed in R7 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 91% home (maybe if 8-2), 56% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 24.85 (11.80-30.70) 99% in, 93% home, 58% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 59%
Lose: 18.95 ( 9.95-27.00) 87% in, 60% home, 20% bye, proj. #7 (#2-out), bye 23%
Based on eventual number of wins
(49%) 10W: 26.65 (23.20-30.70) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 92%
(34%) 9W: 22.10 (18.30-27.80) 100% in, 99% home, 32% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 32%
(14%) 8W: 17.90 (14.35-23.65) 99% in, 57% home, 2% bye, proj. #8 (#3-out), Walnut Ridge (1-3) 10%
( 2%) 7W: 15.15 (11.80-20.30) 72% in, 9% home, proj. #11 (#6-out), Walnut Ridge (1-3) 15%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(49%) WWWWWW: 26.65 (23.20-30.70) 100% home, 92% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 92%
( 1%) LWWWWW: 23.70 (21.40-27.00) 100% home, 66% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#8), bye 66%
(14%) WWWLWW: 22.05 (18.50-25.55) 100% in, 99% home, 30% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#11), bye 30%
(18%) WWWWWL: 21.95 (18.30-26.20) 100% in, 99% home, 28% bye, proj. #5 (#1-#10), bye 28%
( 1%) LWWWWL: 18.95 (15.60-21.45) 99% in, 76% home, 3% bye, proj. #7 (#4-out), Teays Valley (3-1) 12%
(11%) WWWLWL: 17.55 (14.35-21.00) 98% in, 50% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Walnut Ridge (1-3) 11%
( 1%) LWWLWL: 14.65 (12.30-17.60) 65% in, 4% home, proj. #12 (#6-out), Northland (2-2) 17%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 145.5, #74, D2 #22), likely in, 91% home (maybe if 8-2), 56% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 141.3, #95, D2 #27), 96% (bubble if 6-4), 83% home (maybe if 7-3), 45% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 147.7, #68, D2 #21), 98% (bubble if 6-4), 90% home (maybe if 7-3), 65% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 139.8, #105, D2 #27), 93% (bubble if 5-5), 77% home (maybe if 7-3), 47% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #3 at 8-2
Week 0 (0-0, 133.9, #130, D2 #30), 77% (bubble if 5-5), 59% home (maybe if 6-4), 33% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 7-3
Last season 140.4