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Rankings
#13 of 105 in Division 5
#7 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #24 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #33 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #347 Kenton (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 24 (86%)
08/28 H #15 Liberty Center (0-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 32 (5%)
09/04 A #364 Wauseon (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 25 (92%)
09/11 A #535 Rossford (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 39 (99%)
09/18 H #587 Fostoria (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 45 (99%)
09/25 H #367 Otsego (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 28 (96%)
10/02 A #162 Oak Harbor (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 1 (47%)
10/09 H #189 Genoa Area (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 8 (70%)
10/16 A #465 Lake (Millbury) (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 33 (99%)
10/23 H #294 Maumee (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 23 (93%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
18.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#3 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
75% (bubble if 6-4), 51% home (maybe if 7-3), 25% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.95 ( 1.00-32.70) 80% in, 56% home, 28% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 35%
Lose: 11.70 ( 0.00-28.20) 45% in, 21% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 4%) 10W: 27.15 (22.80-32.70) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#7), bye 99%
(22%) 9W: 22.90 (17.35-29.80) 100% in, 99% home, 76% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#10), bye 76%
(25%) 8W: 18.80 (13.15-26.00) 99% in, 77% home, 16% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 17%
(20%) 7W: 15.35 (10.10-21.85) 84% in, 27% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
(14%) 6W: 12.15 ( 6.90-19.50) 41% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Bluffton (0-0) 9%
( 8%) 5W: 9.50 ( 5.00-16.80) 12% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Bluffton (0-0) 8%
( 4%) 4W: 6.90 ( 2.95-12.15) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 2%) 3W: 4.65 ( 2.00- 9.90) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 2.60 ( 1.00- 5.75) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Bluffton (0-0) 5%
Margaretta (0-0) 5%
Norwayne (0-0) 4%
Archbold (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty-Benton (0-0) 10%
Coldwater (0-0) 9%
Galion (0-0) 8%
Triway (0-0) 8%
Oak Harbor (0-0) 8%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 148.0, #63, D5 #4), 75% (bubble if 6-4), 57% home (maybe if 7-3), 34% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #6 at 7-3
Last season 129.3