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Rankings
#14 of 105 in Division 5
#8 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #38 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #45 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #268 Huron (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 18 (80%)
08/28 H #652 Woodward (Toledo) (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 49 (99%)
09/04 A #279 Port Clinton (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 15 (80%)
09/11 A #587 Fostoria (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 42 (99%)
09/18 A #367 Otsego (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 24 (93%)
09/25 H #189 Genoa Area (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 7 (67%)
10/02 H #151 Eastwood (0-0) D5 R18, pick: W by 1 (53%)
10/09 A #465 Lake (Millbury) (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 32 (98%)
10/16 A #294 Maumee (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 18 (88%)
10/23 H #535 Rossford (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 40 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
17.45 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
76% (bubble if 7-3), 57% home (maybe if 8-2), 33% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 19.70 ( 0.40-31.85) 83% in, 65% home, 39% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 47%
Lose: 12.25 ( 0.00-28.05) 48% in, 26% home, 10% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 21%
Based on eventual number of wins
(22%) 10W: 25.10 (19.45-31.85) 100% in, 99% home, 94% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#9), bye 94%
(23%) 9W: 21.17 (15.35-29.15) 99% in, 95% home, 46% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 46%
(18%) 8W: 17.45 (11.55-26.95) 95% in, 57% home, 8% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), bye 8%
(14%) 7W: 14.20 ( 8.60-21.15) 70% in, 16% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Margaretta (0-0) 8%
(10%) 6W: 11.20 ( 6.30-19.05) 26% in, 1% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Eastwood (0-0) 9%
( 6%) 5W: 8.55 ( 3.95-14.60) 6% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 4%) 4W: 6.15 ( 2.90-11.80) 1% in, proj. out (#10-out)
( 2%) 3W: 3.75 ( 1.45- 8.45) out, proj. out
( 1%) 2W: 2.15 ( 0.95- 7.15) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Bluffton (0-0) 4%
Margaretta (0-0) 4%
Eastwood (0-0) 4%
Norwayne (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty-Benton (0-0) 9%
Coldwater (0-0) 9%
Galion (0-0) 8%
Triway (0-0) 7%
Eastwood (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 124.0, #183, D5 #17), 69% (bubble if 6-4), 44% home (maybe if 8-2), 20% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 7-3
Last season 122.5