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Rankings
#33 of 106 in Division 5
#15 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #36 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #38 in D5 (-68 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 42-7 H #392 Huron (1-7) D6 R22, pick: W by 18 (80%), perf. rating 146
08/28 W 49-16 H #637 Woodward (Toledo) (1-7) D3 R10, pick: W by 49 (99%), perf. rating 94
09/04 L 29-13 A #220 Port Clinton (7-1) D5 R18, pick: W by 4 (59%), perf. rating 98
09/11 W 35-7 A #596 Fostoria (0-8) D4 R14, pick: W by 34 (98%), perf. rating 104
09/18 L 60-0 A #180 Otsego (5-3) D4 R14, pick: L by 8 (31%), perf. rating 65
09/25 L 42-27 H #183 Genoa Area (5-3) D5 R18, pick: L by 20 (10%), perf. rating 101
10/02 L 27-13 H #200 Eastwood (7-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 16 (15%), perf. rating 100
10/09 W 44-12 A #431 Lake (Millbury) (4-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 3 (58%), perf. rating 139
10/16 A #402 Maumee (4-4) D3 R10, pick: W by 13 (80%)
10/23 H #417 Rossford (4-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 19 (89%)
Regular season projections
6-4 record
10.60 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.60 ( 7.50-12.15) out, proj. out
Lose: 7.95 ( 4.85- 9.00) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
(72%) 6W: 10.60 (10.15-12.15) out, proj. out
(24%) 5W: 7.95 ( 7.50- 9.00) out, proj. out
( 4%) 4W: 5.30 ( 4.85- 6.70) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(72%) WW: 10.60 (10.15-12.15) out
(17%) LW: 7.95 ( 7.50- 9.00) out
( 7%) WL: 7.95 ( 7.50- 8.90) out
( 4%) LL: 5.30 ( 4.85- 6.70) out
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (3-4, 99.0, #369, D5 #42), 1% (must have at least 6-4 for any chance), proj. out at 5-5
Week 6 (3-3, 102.0, #351, D5 #42), 7% (bubble if 7-3), home game unlikely, proj. out at 5-5
Week 5 (3-2, 103.8, #338, D5 #40), 15% (bubble if 7-3), 3% home (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 6-4
Week 4 (3-1, 114.3, #268, D5 #28), 54% (bubble if 7-3), 26% home (maybe if 8-2), 6% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 7-3
Week 3 (2-1, 116.3, #247, D5 #26), 59% (bubble if 7-3), 34% home (maybe if 8-2), 14% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 126.5, #170, D5 #15), 80% (bubble if 7-3), 63% home (maybe if 8-2), 42% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 137.1, #112, D5 #7), 93% (bubble if 7-3), 83% home (maybe if 8-2), 62% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 128.1, #162, D5 #14), 75% (bubble if 7-3), 57% home (maybe if 8-2), 33% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #5 at 8-2
Last season 122.5