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Rankings
#23 of 102 in Division 4
#7 of 25 in Region 14
Strength of schedule #57 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #32 in D4 (+4 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 47-13 H #549 Bowsher (2-6) D2 R6, pick: W by 30 (92%), perf. rating 119
08/28 W 21-14 A #323 Tinora (4-4) D6 R22, pick: W by 2 (54%), perf. rating 118
09/04 L 53-17 H #32 Liberty Center (8-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 41 (1%), perf. rating 106
09/11 W 35-14 A #183 Genoa Area (5-3) D5 R18, pick: L by 15 (19%), perf. rating 158
09/18 W 60-0 H #310 Oak Harbor (4-4) D5 R18, pick: W by 8 (69%), perf. rating 169
09/25 L 43-41 A #200 Eastwood (7-1) D5 R18, pick: W by 16 (85%), perf. rating 122
10/02 L 35-33 H #431 Lake (Millbury) (4-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 34 (99%), perf. rating 85
10/09 W 43-0 A #402 Maumee (4-4) D3 R10, pick: W by 21 (92%), perf. rating 158
10/16 A #417 Rossford (4-4) D4 R14, pick: W by 28 (97%)
10/23 H #596 Fostoria (0-8) D4 R14, pick: W by 45 (99%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
17.65 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#5 seed in R14 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and home, 6% bye
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.65 (16.20-19.10) 100% home, 7% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#7), Benjamin Logan (3-5) 21%
Lose: 15.00 (13.30-16.05) 100% home, proj. #6 (#5-#8), Lake (Millbury) (4-4) 30%
Based on eventual number of wins
(96%) 7W: 17.65 (16.20-19.10) 100% home, 7% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#7), Benjamin Logan (3-5) 21%
( 4%) 6W: 15.00 (13.55-18.15) 100% home, 1% bye, proj. #6 (#4-#8), Lake (Millbury) (4-4) 24%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
(96%) WW: 17.65 (16.20-19.10) 100% home, 7% bye, proj. #5 (#3-#7), Benjamin Logan (3-5) 21%
( 3%) LW: 15.00 (13.55-16.05) 100% home, proj. #6 (#5-#8), Lake (Millbury) (4-4) 30%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (4-3, 120.7, #214, D4 #31), appears locked in and likely home, 2% bye, proj. #6 at 7-3
Week 6 (4-2, 129.0, #158, D4 #16), appears locked in and likely home, 30% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 5 (4-1, 133.3, #132, D4 #15), appears locked in and likely home, 89% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #2 at 9-1
Week 4 (3-1, 120.0, #218, D4 #31), likely in, 93% home (maybe if 6-4), 51% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #5 at 8-2
Week 3 (2-1, 107.4, #310, D4 #44), 80% (bubble if 4-6), 44% home (maybe if 6-4), 7% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #8 at 6-4
Week 2 (2-0, 105.5, #326, D4 #46), 71% (bubble if 5-5), 31% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #9 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 103.1, #344, D4 #50), 51% (bubble if 5-5), 21% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 5-5
Week 0 (0-0, 100.1, #367, D4 #56), 50% (bubble if 5-5), 23% home (maybe if 6-4), 5% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #10 at 5-5
Last season 100.2