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Rankings
#18 of 105 in Division 5
#11 of 25 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #34 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #37 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #169 Archbold (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 4 (43%)
08/28 H #583 Bowsher (0-0) D2 R6, pick: W by 41 (98%)
09/04 H #268 Huron (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 14 (78%)
09/11 H #367 Otsego (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 24 (92%)
09/18 A #294 Maumee (0-0) D3 R10, pick: W by 13 (79%)
09/25 A #162 Oak Harbor (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 7 (33%)
10/02 H #535 Rossford (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 38 (99%)
10/09 A #151 Eastwood (0-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 8 (30%)
10/16 A #587 Fostoria (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 40 (99%)
10/23 H #465 Lake (Millbury) (0-0) D4 R14, pick: W by 32 (98%)
Regular season projections
7-3 record
15.25 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#11 seed in R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
67% (bubble if 6-4), 45% home (maybe if 8-2), 24% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.50 ( 2.40-31.55) 89% in, 70% home, 43% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 48%
Lose: 13.00 ( 0.00-28.75) 50% in, 27% home, 10% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 20%
Based on eventual number of wins
(11%) 10W: 25.80 (19.30-31.55) 100% home, 96% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#8), bye 96%
(17%) 9W: 22.20 (15.75-28.75) 99% in, 98% home, 60% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 60%
(18%) 8W: 18.55 (11.70-26.80) 98% in, 70% home, 15% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 15%
(18%) 7W: 15.25 ( 8.30-22.70) 79% in, 25% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Margaretta (0-0) 8%
(14%) 6W: 12.20 ( 6.50-19.30) 40% in, 4% home, proj. out (#5-out), Eastwood (0-0) 8%
(10%) 5W: 9.50 ( 4.40-16.70) 10% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out), Bluffton (0-0) 9%
( 6%) 4W: 7.05 ( 2.95-13.25) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 3%) 3W: 4.85 ( 1.85-10.65) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 2%) 2W: 3.20 ( 0.90- 9.40) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Bluffton (0-0) 5%
Margaretta (0-0) 4%
Eastwood (0-0) 4%
Norwayne (0-0) 4%
Most likely second round opponents
Liberty-Benton (0-0) 10%
Coldwater (0-0) 9%
Galion (0-0) 8%
Triway (0-0) 8%
Eastwood (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 137.1, #108, D5 #7), 74% (bubble if 5-5), 56% home (maybe if 7-3), 35% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. #4 at 7-3
Last season 129.7