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Region 18 playoff probabilities
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Team history page
Rankings
#73 of 106 in Division 5
#17 of 26 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #30 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #98 in D5 (-682 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 56-35 H #334 Leipsic (4-0) D7 R26, pick: L by 23 (15%), perf. rating 71
08/29 L 56-42 A #508 Northwood (2-2) D5 R18, pick: W by 8 (66%), perf. rating 60
09/05 L 38-28 H #289 Evergreen (4-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 35 (3%), perf. rating 93
09/12 L 27-20 A #384 Maumee (2-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 24 (8%), perf. rating 90
09/19 H #505 Rossford (2-2) D4 R14, pick: W by 2 (55%)
09/26 A #615 Fostoria (0-4) D5 R18, pick: W by 20 (90%)
10/03 H #344 Otsego (2-2) D5 R18, pick: L by 22 (8%)
10/10 A #176 Oak Harbor (4-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 37 (1%)
10/17 A #166 Eastwood (3-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 38 (1%)
10/24 H #202 Genoa Area (3-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 33 (1%)
Regular season projections
2-8 record
2.55 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 2.55 ( 1.65-13.25) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Lose: 0.45 ( 0.00- 9.05) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 4W: 8.90 ( 7.75-11.15) 23% in, proj. out (#9-out)
( 9%) 3W: 5.50 ( 4.90- 9.05) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
(44%) 2W: 2.55 ( 2.35- 7.25) out, proj. out
(37%) 1W: 0.45 ( 0.45- 4.30) out, proj. out
( 8%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) WWLLLW: 6.00 ( 5.35- 7.40) out
( 7%) WWWLLL: 5.40 ( 4.90- 6.95) out
( 2%) LWWLLL: 2.90 ( 2.35- 4.30) out
(40%) WWLLLL: 2.55 ( 2.55- 4.45) out
( 4%) WLLLLL: 2.10 ( 1.65- 3.10) out
(32%) LWLLLL: 0.45 ( 0.45- 1.85) out
( 8%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 79.0, #502, D5 #73), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 2-8
Week 3 (0-3, 76.3, #524, D5 #76), 1% (must have at least 4-6 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 2 (0-2, 71.8, #555, D5 #83), 2% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 80.3, #511, D5 #79), 13% (bubble if 6-4), 2% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Week 0 (0-0, 82.1, #504, D5 #75), 22% (bubble if 5-5), 7% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 84.5