Region 14 home page
Region 14 projections
Region 14 playoff probabilities
Region 14 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 14 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#89 of 101 in Division 4
#24 of 25 in Region 14
Strength of schedule #25 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #87 in D4 (-567 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 L 23-14 H #294 Van Buren (3-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 30 (8%), perf. rating 94
08/28 L 42-0 A #177 Port Clinton (3-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 36 (4%), perf. rating 65
09/04 L 46-13 H #329 Woodmore (3-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 25 (8%), perf. rating 54
09/11 H #247 Oak Harbor (2-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 34 (2%)
09/18 A #239 Eastwood (2-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 36 (1%)
09/25 A #423 Lake (Millbury) (2-1) D4 R14, pick: L by 21 (9%)
10/02 H #311 Maumee (2-1) D3 R10, pick: L by 29 (3%)
10/09 A #485 Rossford (1-2) D4 R14, pick: L by 12 (21%)
10/16 H #217 Genoa Area (2-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 36 (1%)
10/23 A #310 Otsego (2-1) D4 R14, pick: L by 31 (2%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R14 playoffs
Playoff chances now
1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance)
Depending on the next game
Win: 4.20 ( 1.40-16.10) 14% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out)
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-16.55) 1% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out), Bellevue (2-1) 18%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 4W: 9.32 ( 8.10-12.75) 77% in, 4% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Bellevue (2-1) 19%
( 2%) 3W: 6.30 ( 5.25-10.70) 13% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
( 9%) 2W: 3.60 ( 2.95- 7.35) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
(29%) 1W: 1.35 ( 1.10- 4.50) out, proj. out
(59%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 1%) LLWLWLW: 5.90 ( 5.45- 7.45) 5% in, proj. out (#11-out), Bellevue (2-1) 20%
( 1%) LLLLWWL: 4.10 ( 3.05- 6.45) out
( 3%) LLWLWLL: 2.95 ( 2.95- 4.85) out
( 2%) LLLWLLL: 2.60 ( 1.65- 4.50) out
( 2%) LLLLLLW: 2.45 ( 1.50- 4.40) out
( 6%) LLWLLLL: 1.35 ( 1.35- 3.80) out
(16%) LLLLWLL: 1.10 ( 1.10- 2.65) out
(59%) LLLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 3 (0-3, 71.2, #552, D4 #89), 1% (must have at least 2-8 for any chance), proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 71.5, #550, D4 #85), 3% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 70.8, #555, D4 #88), 4% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 64.0, #587, D4 #92), 5% (bubble if 4-6), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Last season 61.8