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Rankings
#94 of 106 in Division 5
#23 of 26 in Region 18
Strength of schedule #19 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #85 in D5 (-492 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 L 37-6 A #449 Van Buren (1-3) D6 R22, pick: L by 16 (23%), perf. rating 42
08/29 L 53-7 H #331 Port Clinton (3-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 31 (6%), perf. rating 40
09/05 L 44-0 A #286 Woodmore (4-0) D6 R22, pick: L by 29 (5%), perf. rating 50
09/12 L 49-6 A #176 Oak Harbor (4-0) D5 R18, pick: L by 48 (1%), perf. rating 66
09/19 H #166 Eastwood (3-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 45 (1%)
09/26 H #502 Lake (Millbury) (0-4) D5 R18, pick: L by 20 (10%)
10/03 A #384 Maumee (2-2) D3 R10, pick: L by 33 (2%)
10/10 H #505 Rossford (2-2) D4 R14, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/17 A #202 Genoa Area (3-1) D5 R18, pick: L by 44 (1%)
10/24 H #344 Otsego (2-2) D5 R18, pick: L by 34 (1%)
Regular season projections
0-10 record
0.00 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R18 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears eliminated from contention
Depending on the next game
Lose: 0.00 ( 0.00-11.35) out, proj. out
Based on eventual number of wins
( 5%) 2W: 2.60 ( 2.05- 8.15) out, proj. out
(22%) 1W: 1.65 ( 0.45- 4.30) out, proj. out
(72%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 3%) LWLWLL: 2.60 ( 2.55- 3.60) out
( 1%) LLLLLW: 2.40 ( 1.45- 3.85) out
( 1%) LLWLLL: 2.10 ( 1.60- 3.00) out
(10%) LLLWLL: 1.65 ( 1.65- 3.55) out
( 9%) LWLLLL: 0.45 ( 0.45- 1.85) out
(72%) LLLLLL: 0.00 out
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (0-4, 57.4, #615, D5 #94), appears eliminated from contention, proj. out at 0-10
Week 3 (0-3, 54.9, #621, D5 #94), unlikely to contend for playoffs, proj. out at 0-10
Week 2 (0-2, 61.0, #598, D5 #91), 1% (must have at least 3-7 for any chance), proj. out at 1-9
Week 1 (0-1, 64.9, #586, D5 #90), 2% (bubble if 5-5), home game unlikely, proj. out at 1-9
Week 0 (0-0, 73.3, #544, D5 #82), 12% (bubble if 5-5), 3% home (maybe if 7-3), proj. out at 2-8
Last season 72.7