Region 16 home page
Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 16 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#54 of 101 in Division 4
#13 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #36 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #80 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 H #490 Greenville (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 21 (83%)
08/28 A Richmond IN (0-0) D2
09/04 A #196 Talawanda (0-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 23 (10%)
09/11 H #344 Oakwood (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 1 (48%)
09/18 A #126 Valley View (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 30 (3%)
09/25 A #529 Madison (Middletown) (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 22 (92%)
10/02 H #370 Monroe (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 2 (55%)
10/09 H #199 Brookville (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 19 (11%)
10/16 A #336 Waynesville (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 5 (37%)
10/23 H #259 Carlisle (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 11 (23%)
Regular season projections
4-6 record
7.90 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
37% (bubble if 5-5), 17% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.00 ( 0.55-35.15) 43% in, 20% home, 6% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 13%
Lose: 4.70 ( 0.00-30.55) 12% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#1-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 1%) 10W: 27.40 (21.60-35.15) 100% home, 98% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#6), bye 98%
( 3%) 9W: 23.60 (16.30-30.85) 100% in, 99% home, 72% bye, proj. #4 (#1-#11), bye 72%
( 6%) 8W: 19.90 (13.20-27.30) 99% in, 90% home, 26% bye, proj. #6 (#1-out), bye 26%
(10%) 7W: 16.52 ( 9.05-24.00) 97% in, 55% home, 4% bye, proj. #8 (#2-out), Wyoming (0-0) 6%
(14%) 6W: 13.25 ( 7.75-20.15) 77% in, 17% home, 1% bye, proj. #11 (#3-out), Wyoming (0-0) 8%
(16%) 5W: 10.40 ( 4.90-18.20) 37% in, 3% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Wyoming (0-0) 11%
(16%) 4W: 7.90 ( 2.50-14.35) 10% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 9%
(15%) 3W: 5.65 ( 1.90-12.00) 1% in, proj. out (#9-out)
(12%) 2W: 3.65 ( 1.00- 9.10) 1% in, proj. out (#12-out)
( 6%) 1W: 1.70 ( 0.45- 6.00) out, proj. out
( 2%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Wyoming (0-0) 7%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 6%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 6%
Meadowdale (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
London (0-0) 18%
Taft (0-0) 14%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 12%
Valley View (0-0) 11%
Wyoming (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 79.1, #501, D4 #79), 47% (bubble if 6-4), 22% home (maybe if 7-3), 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 6-4
Last season 94.1