Region 16 home page
Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 16 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#19 of 102 in Division 4
#5 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #74 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #29 in D4 (+37 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/22 W 43-6 A #566 West Carrollton (0-7) D3 R12, pick: W by 27 (89%), perf. rating 125
08/28 W 42-14 H #504 Bethel (1-6) D3 R12, pick: W by 31 (94%), perf. rating 120
09/04 W 42-0 A #534 Milton-Union (2-5) D5 R20, pick: W by 27 (93%), perf. rating 139
09/11 W 42-14 A #414 Eaton (3-4) D4 R16, pick: W by 13 (78%), perf. rating 137
09/18 W 56-28 H #335 Waynesville (5-2) D5 R20, pick: W by 2 (55%), perf. rating 144
09/25 L 34-14 H #93 Valley View (5-2) D4 R16, pick: L by 4 (40%), perf. rating 108
10/02 W 42-0 A #375 Brookville (4-3) D5 R20, pick: W by 23 (93%), perf. rating 162
10/09 H #298 Carlisle (4-3) D5 R20, pick: W by 20 (91%)
10/16 H #50 Bellbrook (7-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 22 (7%)
10/23 A #587 Madison (Middletown) (0-7) D5 R20, pick: W by 43 (99%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
17.10 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
appears locked in and likely home, 4% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 17.10 (15.50-23.85) 100% in, 99% home, 4% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#9), Dunbar (3-3) 28%
Lose: 13.75 (12.15-20.25) 100% in, 90% home, proj. #7 (#6-#10), Dunbar (3-3) 33%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 9W: 22.60 (21.00-23.85) 100% home, 55% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 55%
(83%) 8W: 17.10 (15.65-22.65) 100% in, 99% home, proj. #7 (#5-#9), Dunbar (3-3) 30%
(10%) 7W: 13.75 (12.30-18.45) 100% in, 91% home, proj. #7 (#6-#10), Dunbar (3-3) 32%
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 7%) WWW: 22.60 (21.00-23.85) 100% home, 55% bye, proj. #4 (#2-#7), bye 55%
(83%) WLW: 17.10 (15.65-18.85) 100% in, 99% home, proj. #7 (#5-#9), Dunbar (3-3) 30%
( 9%) LLW: 13.70 (12.30-15.50) 100% in, 90% home, proj. #8 (#7-#10), Dunbar (3-3) 33%
Weekly summary info
Week 7 (6-1, 127.8, #165, D4 #19), appears locked in and likely home, 4% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 6 (5-1, 125.8, #176, D4 #21), appears locked in, 97% home (maybe if 6-4), 6% bye (likely needs 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 5 (5-0, 129.8, #158, D4 #21), appears locked in, 98% home, 35% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 4 (4-0, 121.5, #206, D4 #27), 98% (bubble if 5-5), 73% home (maybe if 7-3), 16% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #7 at 8-2
Week 3 (3-0, 114.6, #260, D4 #35), 75% (bubble if 6-4), 47% home (maybe if 7-3), 12% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #8 at 7-3
Week 2 (2-0, 107.5, #309, D4 #43), 48% (bubble if 6-4), 23% home (maybe if 7-3), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #12 at 6-4
Week 1 (1-0, 107.5, #300, D4 #40), 53% (bubble if 6-4), 30% home (maybe if 7-3), 10% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #10 at 6-4
Week 0 (0-0, 102.4, #344, D4 #49), 40% (bubble if 6-4), 18% home (maybe if 8-2), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. out at 5-5
Last season 107.2