Region 16 home page
Region 16 projections
Region 16 playoff probabilities
Region 16 seeding probabilities
Eitel Region 16 page
Eitel team page
Team history page
Rankings
#49 of 101 in Division 4
#11 of 26 in Region 16
Strength of schedule #61 in D4 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #89 in D4 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #563 West Carrollton (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 27 (89%)
08/28 H #582 Bethel (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 32 (95%)
09/04 A #494 Milton-Union (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 20 (87%)
09/11 A #365 Eaton (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/18 H #336 Waynesville (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 1 (52%)
09/25 H #126 Valley View (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 27 (4%)
10/02 A #199 Brookville (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 21 (9%)
10/09 H #259 Carlisle (0-0) D5 R20, pick: L by 9 (28%)
10/16 H #153 Bellbrook (0-0) D3 R12, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/23 A #529 Madison (Middletown) (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 24 (94%)
Regular season projections
5-5 record
8.22 Harbin points (divisor 100)
out of R16 playoffs
Playoff chances now
39% (bubble if 6-4), 18% home (maybe if 8-2), 5% bye (maybe if 9-1)
Depending on the next game
Win: 10.05 ( 0.55-30.85) 42% in, 20% home, 5% bye, proj. out (#1-out), bye 12%
Lose: 4.55 ( 0.00-25.45) 13% in, 4% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#2-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 9%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 3%) 10W: 24.50 (17.90-30.85) 100% home, 84% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#8), bye 84%
( 6%) 9W: 20.60 (14.50-28.65) 99% in, 94% home, 35% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 35%
(11%) 8W: 16.85 (10.45-24.80) 98% in, 62% home, 5% bye, proj. #8 (#1-out), Wyoming (0-0) 7%
(14%) 7W: 13.60 ( 7.75-21.25) 80% in, 20% home, 1% bye, proj. #10 (#3-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 8%
(17%) 6W: 10.70 ( 5.35-18.80) 42% in, 4% home, proj. out (#5-out), Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 10%
(16%) 5W: 8.22 ( 3.50-14.95) 11% in, 1% home, proj. out (#7-out), Wyoming (0-0) 12%
(14%) 4W: 5.95 ( 2.45-12.95) 2% in, 1% home, proj. out (#8-out)
(11%) 3W: 4.20 ( 1.55- 9.55) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 6%) 2W: 2.60 ( 1.00- 7.15) out, proj. out
( 3%) 1W: 1.20 ( 0.45- 5.00) out, proj. out
( 1%) 0W: 0.00 ( 0.00- nan) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 6%
Wyoming (0-0) 6%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 6%
Meadowdale (0-0) 6%
Most likely second round opponents
London (0-0) 19%
Taft (0-0) 14%
Clinton-Massie (0-0) 12%
Cinc. Hills Christian (0-0) 11%
Valley View (0-0) 10%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 30.6, #678, D4 #101), 2% (bubble if 6-4), home game unlikely, proj. out at 2-8
Last season 107.2