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Rankings
#20 of 105 in Division 5
#1 of 26 in Region 20
Strength of schedule #40 in D5 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #84 in D5 (0 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 A #537 Parkway (0-0) D6 R22, pick: W by 35 (95%)
08/28 H #536 Shawnee (Springfield) (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 37 (97%)
09/04 A #446 Northridge (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 27 (93%)
09/11 A #336 Waynesville (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 17 (84%)
09/18 H #529 Madison (Middletown) (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 36 (99%)
09/25 A #259 Carlisle (0-0) D5 R20, pick: W by 6 (65%)
10/02 H #344 Oakwood (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 21 (91%)
10/09 A #365 Eaton (0-0) D4 R16, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/16 H #126 Valley View (0-0) D4 R16, pick: L by 11 (23%)
10/23 H #269 Franklin (0-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 12 (79%)
Regular season projections
8-2 record
16.80 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#1 seed in R20 playoffs
Playoff chances now
84% (bubble if 5-5), 70% home (maybe if 6-4), 48% bye (maybe if 8-2)
Depending on the next game
Win: 16.30 ( 0.40-31.90) 86% in, 72% home, 49% bye, proj. #5 (#1-out), bye 57%
Lose: 10.25 ( 0.00-27.80) 56% in, 39% home, 19% bye, proj. #11 (#1-out), bye 35%
Based on eventual number of wins
(14%) 10W: 24.05 (17.75-31.90) 100% home, 99% bye, proj. #1 (#1-#7), bye 99%
(21%) 9W: 20.15 (13.50-28.70) 100% in, 99% home, 92% bye, proj. #2 (#1-#10), bye 92%
(21%) 8W: 16.80 ( 9.75-25.55) 99% in, 96% home, 56% bye, proj. #4 (#1-out), bye 56%
(16%) 7W: 13.65 ( 6.55-20.95) 97% in, 70% home, 16% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), bye 16%
(12%) 6W: 10.80 ( 5.05-18.30) 79% in, 30% home, 2% bye, proj. #10 (#2-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 8%
( 8%) 5W: 8.35 ( 3.20-14.80) 39% in, 5% home, 1% bye, proj. out (#4-out), Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
( 5%) 4W: 6.10 ( 2.20-12.75) 8% in, 1% home, proj. out (#6-out)
( 2%) 3W: 4.10 ( 1.35- 8.75) 1% in, proj. out (#11-out)
( 1%) 2W: 2.60 ( 0.85- 6.30) out, proj. out
Most likely first round opponents
Purcell Marian (0-0) 3%
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 3%
Williamsburg (0-0) 3%
Mariemont (0-0) 3%
Most likely second round opponents
Preble Shawnee (0-0) 9%
Carlisle (0-0) 9%
Graham Local (0-0) 8%
Williamsburg (0-0) 7%
Greeneview (0-0) 7%
Weekly summary info
Week 0 (0-0, 70.9, #550, D5 #82), 21% (bubble if 5-5), 10% home (maybe if 6-4), 3% bye (maybe if 8-2), proj. out at 3-7
Last season 124.7