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Rankings
#34 of 100 in Division 2
#8 of 25 in Region 8
Strength of schedule #85 in D2 (based on OHSAA regular season games)
Resume ranking #35 in D2 (+18 WP+)
Schedule and results
08/21 W 33-6 A #363 Taylor (1-3) D4 R16, pick: W by 16 (77%), perf. rating 142
08/28 W 49-0 H #539 Meadowdale (1-3) D4 R16, pick: W by 34 (96%), perf. rating 133
09/04 W 38-6 H #421 Eaton (2-2) D4 R16, pick: W by 29 (95%), perf. rating 138
09/11 W 35-0 A #430 Franklin (0-4) D3 R12, pick: W by 33 (98%), perf. rating 145
09/18 H #556 Carroll (2-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 44 (99%)
09/25 A #349 Ross (1-3) D2 R8, pick: W by 27 (96%)
10/02 A #307 Northwest (Cincy) (4-0) D3 R12, pick: W by 23 (93%)
10/09 A #42 Harrison (4-0) D2 R8, pick: L by 24 (6%)
10/16 A #277 Mount Healthy (2-2) D3 R12, pick: W by 19 (89%)
10/23 H #463 Blanchester (2-2) D5 R20, pick: W by 37 (99%)
Regular season projections
9-1 record
20.75 Harbin points (divisor 100)
#7 seed in R8 playoffs
Playoff chances now
likely in, 81% home (maybe if 8-2), 7% bye (likely needs 10-0)
Depending on the next game
Win: 20.50 ( 9.30-30.65) 99% in, 81% home, 7% bye, proj. #7 (#1-out), Kings (3-1) 15%
Lose: 18.17 (10.45-27.15) 93% in, 48% home, 2% bye, proj. #9 (#3-out), Kings (3-1) 13%
Based on eventual number of wins
( 7%) 10W: 26.10 (22.80-30.65) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 90%
(68%) 9W: 20.75 (16.95-27.15) 100% in, 93% home, 2% bye, proj. #7 (#2-#12), Withrow (2-2) 17%
(20%) 8W: 18.10 (13.15-23.60) 99% in, 50% home, 1% bye, proj. #9 (#4-out), Kings (3-1) 18%
( 4%) 7W: 15.30 (11.10-19.95) 92% in, 12% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Kings (3-1) 19%
( 1%) 6W: 12.52 ( 9.90-16.50) 48% in, proj. out (#9-out)
Under certain win/loss scenarios
( 7%) WWWWWW: 26.10 (22.80-30.65) 100% home, 90% bye, proj. #3 (#1-#7), bye 90%
(67%) WWWLWW: 20.70 (16.95-25.80) 100% in, 93% home, 1% bye, proj. #7 (#3-#12), Withrow (2-2) 17%
( 3%) WLWLWW: 18.85 (15.90-23.30) 100% in, 63% home, proj. #8 (#5-#12), Kings (3-1) 18%
(11%) WWWLLW: 18.55 (15.35-23.25) 99% in, 61% home, proj. #8 (#5-out), Kings (3-1) 17%
( 1%) WWWLWL: 18.00 (14.85-20.60) 100% in, 54% home, proj. #8 (#6-#12), Troy (3-1) 15%
( 1%) WLWLLW: 16.80 (14.75-19.95) 99% in, 25% home, proj. #9 (#6-out), Kings (3-1) 23%
( 6%) WWLLWW: 16.30 (13.15-21.05) 98% in, 18% home, proj. #10 (#6-out), Kings (3-1) 21%
( 2%) WWLLLW: 14.55 (12.15-17.80) 88% in, 6% home, proj. #11 (#7-out), Kings (3-1) 16%
Weekly summary info
Week 4 (4-0, 133.9, #122, D2 #34), likely in, 81% home (maybe if 8-2), 7% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #7 at 9-1
Week 3 (3-0, 135.9, #113, D2 #31), likely in, 90% home (maybe if 8-2), 21% bye (likely needs 10-0), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 2 (2-0, 134.9, #120, D2 #38), likely in, 87% home (maybe if 7-3), 26% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #4 at 9-1
Week 1 (1-0, 128.9, #158, D2 #45), 93% (bubble if 6-4), 68% home (maybe if 8-2), 18% bye (maybe if 10-0), proj. #5 at 9-1
Week 0 (0-0, 122.0, #196, D2 #49), 72% (bubble if 6-4), 47% home (maybe if 8-2), 16% bye (maybe if 9-1), proj. #6 at 8-2
Last season 128.3